175. TRUMP CALLS FOR IRAN CEASEFIRE – WILL IT HOLD?
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What is the main topic discussed in this episode?
Welcome to The Rest Is Politics U.S.
We are on a live stream primarily because we have another taco situation and just to update people that have decided maybe rightfully to turn off the local news and their Twitter feeds and so forth. The United States is agreeing to a 10-point proposal, or at least the president of the United States, Donald Trump, is saying that the 10-point proposal is workable. And a lot of that proposal is probably not the best sorts of things for the United States, including it looks like the Strait of Hormuz will likely be in the control of the Iranians. And so again, I don't want to report propaganda here, but what is on the table on that 10-point plan, I will tell you, it was a commitment to non-aggression.
a continuation of Iran's control over the strait, an acceptance of uranium enrichment. And of course, that's basically something that the war started over, not wanting to accept that. Proposals lifting all primary and secondary sanctions, a termination of all UN Security Council resolutions, excuse me, a termination of all Board of Governors resolutions and a withdrawal of US combat forces from the region. So again, I'm not saying the United States accepting all of those, But that's what's going on right now. But what was clear, and I think your reporting was probably better on this, I'm going to flip it back to you, but was clear that the president was looking for a way out. He didn't just want to taco himself on Twitter.
So he got the Pakistani prime minister to taco for him. So go ahead, tell us how he did that, Kati.
I like the fact that tacoing is now a verb. that has become so ubiquitous in Donald Trump's second presidency with tariffs and now with Iran that it's now a verb. So Donald Trump has now given him a two-week window, himself another two-week extension. I think it's hard to see that he could keep giving even more extensions beyond this two weeks. So a lot has to be resolved in this two weeks. There's quite a lot of distance between the Americans and the Iranians, but what the Iranians have repeated from the Supreme National Security Council to the foreign minister to one other group coming out of the Iranian government is that they have control of the Strait of Hormuz at least for this two-week ceasefire and that any passage through the Strait of Hormuz
has to be coordinated with the Iranian military.
What were the immediate details of the reported Iran ceasefire and Trump's two‑week window?
The Pakistanis are very involved. I have heard from somebody with knowledge of the conversations that Israel is not happy with this two-week ceasefire deal. We have seen, guys, some missiles coming into Tel Aviv this evening after the ceasefire was announced. I don't think that necessarily means that the Iranians are still from a centralized command position trying to attack Israel. Remember that we said on the podcast on Monday how all of the decision-making had really got devolved down, and it may take a while. I think even the White House has just said this. I think I'm right, Anthony, that the White House has just confirmed that they would expect it to take some time for the news of this ceasefire to reach all of the people in Iran who have been launching the missiles because communications, of course, have been spotty.
So yeah, so Israel, here are the winners, right? I'm gonna do an Anthony Scaramucci, see if you agree with me. The winners are, first and foremost, we should be thinking of the Iranian people tonight. 93 million people were threatened this morning by the president of the United States with having their civilization wiped out. Whether he was planning to do that or not, whether we're all inside Trump's psycho bubble of a brain, I don't know. But at least for the Iranian people, this means that they can sleep a little easier tonight and for the next two weeks. Another winner is China. Another winner has to be... at the moment at least, the Iranian government, the Iranian regime, which we can separate out from the Iranian people.
The UAE will be happy if this ceasefire holds and if it lasts more than two weeks.
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Chapters
6 chapters
1
What is the main topic discussed in this episode?
0:07–2:39
2
What were the immediate details of the reported Iran ceasefire and Trump's two‑week window?
2:39–10:19
3
How could control or coordination of the Strait of Hormuz affect shipping and global markets?
10:19–16:07
4
Who are the winners and losers of the ceasefire according to the hosts?
16:07–22:06
5
How weakened or strengthened is Iran after the strikes and what military capabilities remain?
22:06–36:56
6
Why do the hosts say NATO’s credibility may be damaged by recent U.S. actions?
36:56–1:00:55
Speakers
4 identifiedMore from The Rest Is Politics: US
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