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The Rest Is Politics

499. Is It Game Over for Starmer?

09 Feb 2026

Transcription

Chapter 1: What recent events have led to instability in Keir Starmer's leadership?

0.031 - 11.965 Alastair Campbell

Thanks for listening to The Rest Is Politics. To support the podcast, listen without the adverts and get early access to episodes and live show tickets, go to therestispolitics.com. That's therestispolitics.com.

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12.518 - 27.205 Rory Stewart

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27.225 - 36.282 Alastair Campbell

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36.262 - 48.077 Rory Stewart

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48.125 - 59.13 Alastair Campbell

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59.15 - 67.669 Rory Stewart

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76.002 - 92.08 Alastair Campbell

Welcome to The Rest is Politics with me, Alistair Campbell. And with me, Rory Stewart. And we're doing this as a live, but this will also go out as this week's main episode, because to be absolutely frank, things are moving pretty quickly within the Keir Starmer world.

92.821 - 114.111 Alastair Campbell

Many of you will have seen the monologue I did last night on the resignation of Morgan McSweeney, Keir Starmer's chief of staff and longtime senior aide. We've heard this morning that My former deputy a long, long time ago, Tim Allen, who went in a few months ago to try to improve communications as communications director. He's also gone this morning.

114.712 - 132.039 Alastair Campbell

Keir Starmer is going to be talking to the PLP this evening as Parliamentary Labour Party, all the MPs and peers. And I suspect they will probably take some persuading that this show can be got back on the road. I think it can, but I can see why an awful lot of people are very, very, very jumpy.

Chapter 2: How are media narratives affecting perceptions of Starmer's premiership?

429.297 - 455.116 Rory Stewart

There's an incredible irony if Starmer was brought down by Epstein when Trump was a good friend of Epstein's and had private parties from at Mar-a-Lago and all this. And Starmer, as far as one knows, never met Epstein. So that would be very odd. But the only reason one could understand it is in the context of all the other mishaps and this just being the final thing So I don't know.

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455.176 - 476.757 Rory Stewart

And I think because it's quite difficult getting rid of a Labour leader. I mean, you said it's about the MPs in the cabinet. Of course it is. But we also saw with Jeremy Corbyn that that wasn't enough to get rid of him, even when the majority of MPs turned against him. If the leader wants to just dig their heels in and stay, they can. It comes down to the very odd question of psychology.

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476.817 - 491.721 Rory Stewart

I mean, in the end, Liz Truss chose to resign. Boris Johnson, Theresa May, they chose to go. Now, in Johnson's case, it had become catastrophic because the whole cabinet basically was right. 56 ministers had resigned. But in the end, the Prime Minister has to choose to go.

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491.701 - 508.883 Alastair Campbell

And I think on that, I think people do sort of talk about his thick skin and his resilience and what have you. I think he has had a few dark nights of the soul in recent days. And we know that he had those in the past when Labour in opposition lost the by-election in Hartlepool.

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508.863 - 537.064 Alastair Campbell

um and he you know we all know he seriously thought about whether he could do this whether he was ever going to be able to lead the labour party into government of course he did that with this landslide and i think was disappointed so many of the mps and don't forget a lot of these people as you know they they don't know that much about politics they've never really been through all the tough times that you have to go through in politics they're new mps who came in this wave a landslide god we've got a landslide we can now do so much

537.044 - 560.565 Alastair Campbell

And I think one of the things that they have found difficult, I don't think they felt terribly respected by number 10. I think that the, and perhaps this might be a point to talk about the specific issue that sort of created this frenzy last night about Morgan McSweeney. Keir Starmer clearly owes him a lot in terms of Keir Starmer. He's been a lawyer.

560.645 - 578.133 Alastair Campbell

He's been the director of public prosecutions. He decides to become an MP relatively late in life. And he hires this guy, Morgan McSweeney, or he gets to know Morgan McSweeney, who I guess he sees as having political skills on the organisational and the campaign side that maybe he feels he doesn't have.

578.374 - 598 Rory Stewart

My understanding, correct me if I'm wrong, is that McSweeney did four things for Starmer. He's credited with helping him win the leadership in the first place. He's credited with having purged the left from the party. He's credited with having designed the election strategy and finally with having run number 10. Is that right?

597.98 - 616.478 Alastair Campbell

Well, credited is a very interesting word. I think one of the points I was going to make is that, do you remember we said at the time when the book about the Labour campaign was published called Get In? Yeah. And I said at the time, I think this is a really damaging book for Keir Starmer.

Chapter 3: What role does the Mandelson-Epstein connection play in current political discussions?

849.578 - 869.701 Alastair Campbell

We get snatches of it. I thought one of the strongest points that, again, Kemi Baden made this morning is, you know, we've had resets and missions that were missions, then they're not. So that's a problem. And that's a problem for the operation as well. You have to have somebody in there who is driving that. So I would have certainly said that.

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869.741 - 892.637 Alastair Campbell

I'd have said, I'd also have said, I think that when I was doing the job that I did, I had a lot of attention, but partly that's because my job was to talk to the media all the time. I may have done it. I think I did do it pretty well, but I may have overplayed my hand a few times, but I was never there wanting people to think that I was running the whole show.

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892.617 - 916.363 Alastair Campbell

In fact, that was, I knew, was a terrible negative for Tony Blair. And by the way, let me just, I sent you a photograph this morning when I was listening to all this stuff about, oh, well, Keir Starmer's bound to flounder without Morgan McSweeney. He can't tie shoelaces without him, et cetera. And I sent you the front cover of Private Eye from the week that I resigned in 2000 and whatever it was.

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917.344 - 936.87 Alastair Campbell

And it was a collection of photographs. And the one that I thought was most relevant to this was, was a picture of David Frost, legendary BBC interviewer, interviewing Tony Blair. And David Frost says, how will you manage without him? And you've got a smiling Tony Blair with a completely blank speech bubble, as if he won't be able to say anything without me.

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936.89 - 961.543 Alastair Campbell

And that, of course, turned out not to be true. Totally untrue. The Sun, I can remember, somebody reminded me this morning, the Sun headline was, Blair loses his brain. So the point is, and this is a point I was trying to make last night, is ultimately we have so much focus in this kind of soap opera political world on advisers. And sometimes, like Cummings, they generate that for themselves.

961.644 - 978.767 Alastair Campbell

Peter, when he was an adviser, was a little bit like this. They want it to be about them. And ultimately it is about the politicians. The politicians have to show that they have it. And so I think when Keir Starmer goes in to see the Parliamentary Labour Party tonight,

978.747 - 999.912 Alastair Campbell

What they're going to want is not, you know, oh, I balled up on this and I wish I'd done that and Tim Allen's gone, but I'll replace him with this. They want to know that he's got it within him to understand the scale of the crisis facing him and to get out of it and ultimately to direct a better government.

999.932 - 1021.899 Alastair Campbell

And I was talking to one of the cabinet ministers last night who is, I would still, still very, very supportive of Keir, doesn't want him to go. And who said, if Keir plays this right, it could be liberating for him. But it has to be based on the fact that every time the public see him from now on, they think they're seeing him, his values, his approach to politics.

1022.399 - 1027.766 Alastair Campbell

And he's not just somebody who's being pushed out there to read a script. So that's the kind of thing you'd get a flavor of that.

Chapter 4: Are Labour MPs feeling disillusioned with Starmer's leadership?

1204.907 - 1225.378 Alastair Campbell

So if you think about something like Peter Mandelson. So there's Peter, very tricky character. We've had all sorts of ups and downs, but pretty effective in lots of different ways when we were coming through opposition into government. He sort of agitates to get a senior job. He gets into the cabinet. You know, we have his first resignation, okay?

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1225.358 - 1244.413 Alastair Campbell

And off he goes into the wilderness for a little bit. But he's got enough currency in the reputational bank. Tony brings him back. He then goes off and he does something stupid again. And he resigns again. And he goes off and licks his wounds and rebuilds. And he's still got a bit of currency in the bank. And he goes off to be a commissioner in Europe.

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1244.393 - 1263.32 Alastair Campbell

And then Gordon Brown, no friend of his, no fan of his, who'd sort of, the number of times I've had Gordon Brown in my ear telling me about, in fact, how was he to do what he did like Peter? Because he called him Mendelsohn rather than Mandelson. And he, you know, but even for Gordon, he's got enough currency in the bank.

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1263.341 - 1289.892 Alastair Campbell

What you've seen, what's happened over this Epstein stuff is all the currency is gone. Okay. Now, with Keir, what you're saying is that he had the reputation of being a good DPP. He had the reputation of coming to politics fairly late and seeming to know how to do politics. He was a pretty effective spokesman in really difficult times for Labour on Brexit.

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1289.872 - 1309.098 Alastair Campbell

not always get into the position I'd like him to, but remember when we interviewed Michel Barnier, he said, as soon as I met Keir Starmer, I thought this guy could be prime minister. So he's got reputation building. He then wins an election. He wins an election. And you don't get more reputational currency in British politics or any politics. Look at the Japanese prime minister today.

1309.138 - 1325.025 Alastair Campbell

Her reputational currency has gone soaring because she's just won a landslide. Keir won a landslide. And what you're saying is that since then, I would argue there's been lots of good things he's said, lots of good things he's done. There is progress that's being made. I think the country is on many levels better than it was.

1325.686 - 1333.878 Alastair Campbell

But there have been, you mentioned some of them, but, you know, winter fuel, the farmers, some of the scandals that, you know.

1333.918 - 1334.639 Rory Stewart

Two-child benefit.

1334.94 - 1361.961 Alastair Campbell

Two-child benefit, the U-turns, the sort of playing around in Europe. So I think that where I would say he's at is, is that the reserves are running low. To refill that currency, reputational bank, he has got to give the PLP, starting today, the sense he knows how to get a grip. And You know, we shall see. We shall see.

Chapter 5: How does the public view the Labour Party's current direction?

1447.16 - 1465.534 Rory Stewart

Just to try to work out what happens now. So let's say people feel, and definitely some of my friends who are still in Parliament feel, that they don't want a leadership election. They think that both West Streeting and Angela Rayner, who are the main contenders, would be too divisive.

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1466.376 - 1485.998 Rory Stewart

Some of them are now a bit regretting that Andy Burnham didn't come in as an option, but the options they've got they feel would be a little bit too divisive, one too left wing, one too right wing. They're worried that Angela Rayner, because of the problems that she had with her tax and mortgage payments, it's not an ideal time for her at a moment of scandal.

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1486.058 - 1509.132 Rory Stewart

And it's not an ideal time for Wes Streeting, who's seen as very much being part of the Morgan McSweeney-Mandelson universe. So I suppose the best case scenario for them might be, Starmer remains in place, but then he really gives space to secretaries of state doing radical and impressive things. So I'm more on the right of this argument.

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1509.192 - 1535.44 Rory Stewart

So I would like to see West Streeting really unleashed to do brave, difficult reforms to the NHS. I'd like to see Peter Kyle as Business Secretary, completely rethinking how to get rid of regulation, get rid of red tape, get entrepreneurship going, get businesses growing, make Britain really grow. I'd like to see the Chancellor be braver and tougher on getting public spending under control.

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1535.42 - 1557.141 Rory Stewart

I think if you got even those three things going, maybe I might like to see someone like Al Khan in a more senior position bringing a bit of charisma and shape and energy to the Labour projects. And maybe you might think at some point of bringing back a voice like Angela Rayner to push on with planning and housing. And you do it under Salma, but you do it not, maybe this is too romantic.

1557.121 - 1571.563 Rory Stewart

Not in the way that McSweeney did, which was very central controlling. We control the narrative. We're a campaigning machine. We can barely be bothered to speak to a lot of these ministers half the time. But actually go for a first amongst equals model and really get behind these people.

1571.904 - 1581.559 Alastair Campbell

We can argue about some of the specifics that you talk about. But as a general approach, I totally agree with that. And that probably doesn't mean at some point, if he does get through this period...

1581.539 - 1599.295 Alastair Campbell

that he does have to think about, you know, a reshuffle that is more significant than the last one where it was a huge fuss and in the end only one person left and she became deputy leader of the Labour Party, Lucy Powell. And I think this point about, you know, some of the stuff I talked about last night, that

1599.798 - 1622.983 Alastair Campbell

The sense of all the way that politics is talked about in the media, the way that the short termism in our politics, the sort of the kind of levels of dissonance in our public debate, the way that social media and the media more generally, this is all about rage, what have you. I think he's got to whoever's prime minister in the modern age has got to take that on. Takeichi.

Chapter 6: What are the implications of potential leadership changes in the Labour Party?

1810.398 - 1828.975 Rory Stewart

And then there's the schizophrenic other side, which touches on it, but is a window into a much bigger world, and which is a world that I think we need to keep focused on, which is the world of influence, power, connections, networks, which goes a long way beyond sex trafficking.

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1828.995 - 1846.154 Rory Stewart

And the reason that I want to say that is not to minimize his horrible, devastating crimes, but to understand that if we just see him as an individual example of evil, we're missing a much bigger thing that's coming out of the story, which is the way that political corruption works.

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1846.755 - 1873.854 Rory Stewart

One thing I noticed thinking about it and reading about it is, firstly, how many of the people we've interviewed on Leading are people who saw him regularly. Bill Clinton, 26 trips on Epstein's private plane. Hillary Clinton saw him. I'm just going through people we've interviewed on Leading. George Mitchell, accused by Virginia Jeffrey of rape.

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1874.595 - 1893.696 Rory Stewart

We've had... I'm just trying to go through all the different people. Reid Hoffman has featured a great deal in this. We didn't interview Larry Summers, but I was pushing you to interview Larry Summers. He was very much caught up in this whole thing. And I could keep going. I'm being a bit daft because I can't quite remember them all, having set it all up. But

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1893.676 - 1923.109 Rory Stewart

The point that I'm trying to make is that we weren't setting out to interview a group of people adjacent to Jeffrey Epstein. Clearly, what we were doing is working our way through a lot of these prominent academics, tech bros, political figures, and Epstein knew them all. He did something which is a little bit different to the way that networking works in Britain.

1923.089 - 1942.549 Rory Stewart

Networking in Britain, I guess if you're lobbying or you're someone who enjoys knowing people, a lot of it might be about politics and finance. But this is about politics, it's about finance, but it's also about universities and it's about philanthropy. And the university and philanthropy bit is also very important because he laundered his reputation

1942.529 - 1963.44 Rory Stewart

by being this kind of great intellectual who would host people like Stephen Hawking. He was a senior fellow at Harvard, and he set up his own center at Harvard. And also, he's giving money to all these philanthropic things, and his connection with Bill Gates seems to be that he's claiming to advise Gates on his philanthropic giving, and that's true for the head of one of the hedge fund.

1963.42 - 1983.559 Alastair Campbell

Bill Gates is another one we interviewed, isn't he? It's probably worth saying, Rory, if I can go into sort of moderate BBC mode for a couple of seconds, that just because your name is in the files doesn't mean that you're necessarily guilty of a crime. But, you know, you mentioned the extent of the tentacles. I'll just give you a tiny example of this.

1983.619 - 2016.934 Alastair Campbell

So, as you know, I'm about later today to start recording our next miniseries, which is going to be about the Arctic. And I discovered in my research that the guy who put the idea of Trump going after Greenland was a guy called Ronald Lauder, who is the sole heir to the Estee Lauder fortune. And he's in the Epstein files. And I just thought it's like everywhere you look,

Chapter 7: How does Epstein's influence extend into politics and society?

2208.446 - 2231.679 Alastair Campbell

And the piece I mentioned that Emilio Gentleman wrote, I really do recommend people put it in the newsletter. It's just that it's not just that they're... sleazy and up to sort of terrible things. It's the joking about it, and it's the incessance of it. I'd like to think I don't know any people like that, but as you say, we've interviewed some of them.

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2231.699 - 2264.473 Rory Stewart

Can I come into that on that? I was talking to Shoshana about this yesterday, and she was talking about her complete horror of the sort of exchanges that people have. But a lot of it, I'm afraid, is stuff that men are doing a lot without admitting it to themselves or certainly to their partners. I think that sometimes I'm reading this stuff and what you're seeing is women

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2264.453 - 2289.87 Rory Stewart

awkward, geeky professors who are flattered to have become friends with this apparently good-looking, wealthy, powerful man. And they're showing off by making offensive comments about women just as they could in another mode make racist comments, make anti-Semitic comments, make homophobic comments.

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2290.255 - 2312.719 Rory Stewart

I suppose without overdoing this, I also think there's a tendency for everybody to imagine this is a sort of strange, isolated incident. I'm more worried that half of men are saying this stuff, and it's just they don't happen to be recorded on emails. But if you overhear them in a bar, they're making inappropriate comments all the time. I'm not accusing them of raping minors, but...

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2312.699 - 2322.417 Rory Stewart

I was thinking about it. I was watching The Wire. I was watching Sopranos. Basically, the entire narrative is men sitting in bars making homophobic, racist, sexist comments all the time.

2322.517 - 2342.807 Alastair Campbell

I guess what that speaks to, though, is how... This is why sometimes these big moments really matter and how they're then taken forward. But if you take... the Me Too movement, there has been, not least because of the way that Trump projects himself and the MAGA movement projects itself and the sort of anti-woke right, there's been a backlash against that.

2343.918 - 2368.068 Alastair Campbell

I hope that this actually will maybe regenerate some of that energy around the, the me too movement. Look at George Floyd. I mean, you know, you, if you think about the sort of the huge advances of when we, we talk about apartheid, we talk about, uh, we, we talk about sexism, racism, all the sort of isms that good people, I think have tried to deal with.

2368.088 - 2382.547 Alastair Campbell

I think a lot of them are back out the genies back out of the bottle, uh, You know, one of the things that really shocked me, you mentioned academics, was Naim Chomsky, who's meant to be this sort of, you know, left-wing intellectual hero. Yeah, great hero of the progressive left. Correct.

2382.848 - 2394.324 Alastair Campbell

Consoling Epstein and saying, you know, that, oh, well, you know, the way they've weaponized all this stuff about violence and abuse of women. Like it sort of doesn't exist or it doesn't matter.

Chapter 8: What can be learned from the discussions about power dynamics in politics?

2672.332 - 2696.946 Rory Stewart

Gordon Brown put the cap on total spending at 2.75%, not 2.5%, like everyone expected. And we said so. We said so last week. He's given the correct number to his client, which is Salomon Smith Barney, the US investment banking giant. And then he explains, the one quarter percentage point difference may seem tiny, but in the hands of security traders and arbitragers, such information is gold dust.

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2696.926 - 2716.082 Rory Stewart

And then Draper says, you know, if you can act on this, you can make a fortune. The reason I'm troubled by that is I just am beginning to wonder how long Mandelson's been at this. Where's Draper getting this information from? How was he able to get a week in advance confidential government information out of Gordon Brown's inner circle and pass it on to investment banks?

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2716.18 - 2741.473 Alastair Campbell

I mean, Derek's dead now, so you can't ask him. And I think if I remember at the time, it was a long time ago now, but if I'm at the time, that was like our first or one of the first really difficult scandals to deal with. And back to my reputational currency point, I think partly because we were still in the honeymoon period. we were able to navigate it reasonably quickly.

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2741.493 - 2766.007 Alastair Campbell

I think Derek got, I can't remember what, what actually happened to him, but there was some sort of punishment. I think that, no, listen, I, what you said to me there makes, makes me think that on a lot of this stuff, we just maybe weren't tough enough to, about dealing with stuff that we should have thought. You can't say things like that. I mean, we would have all said that, by the way.

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2766.548 - 2786.708 Alastair Campbell

I'd have to look up my diaries to see what I said and thought at the time. But, you know, because the other thing I can't stand that that reveals, and I hate speaking ill of the dead, but what that reveals is this, related to what we've said about Peaches, this showing off. There are only 17 people of matter and I know them all. I mean, in a way, this is a point Gordon Brown made the other day.

2786.728 - 2795.138 Alastair Campbell

He said there are 61 lobbyists in the House of Lords. Well, he's right. That is wrong. That's wrong. But you know, who put them there?

2796.46 - 2819.374 Rory Stewart

Yeah, yeah. And I think the other thing, this is maybe me pushing it too far, but we tend to think about Mandelson's appointment simply as an oversight that Starmer and McSweeney hadn't done their due diligence or something had gone wrong on the civil service vetting procedures for the intelligence agencies weren't doing their job.

2819.354 - 2844.592 Rory Stewart

But it's also true in some way that Mandelson was given the job precisely because he was considered to be so well-networked. Because he, in some ways, I mean, obviously he's not Epstein, but he also was a man who had an incredible Rolodex background. knew all the heads of the banks, could contact anyone you wanted, and mentored people and helped them.

2846.015 - 2855.37 Rory Stewart

The Labour politicians believe he helped McSweeney a great deal in planning the election strategy and working out which MPs got into which seats and how to deal with this.

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