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Chapter 1: What is the main topic discussed in this episode?
Public.com presents The Rundown, your daily market update in 10 minutes. My name is Zaid Admani, and today is Friday, May 8th. In today's episode, we'll break down the surprisingly strong April jobs report. We'll also recap earnings from CoreWeave, Iron, Rocket Lab, and CloudFlare. Then stick around to the end of the show to find out why the AI boom is making gaming more expensive.
We got a great show for you today. Let's go. Stocks pulled back a bit on Thursday. The S&P 500 dipped 0.4%, while the NASDAQ was off by 0.1%. And I have to bring up the Dow here. It lost 0.6%. Long-time listeners know I'm a Dow hater, and right now is a great example of why.
Chapter 2: What does the April jobs report reveal about the economy?
The Dow has been the worst performing index this year compared to the S&P and NASDAQ, and it's because the index is only 30 stocks and doesn't have much exposure to AI and chip stocks, which is where all the money is going right now. And that's why Dow investors are getting left behind. The other thing that we got this morning is the April jobs report. And the numbers were solid.
The economy added 115,000 jobs in April, roughly double the 55,000 economists were expecting. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%. So the data is showing that the labor market is holding up despite fears of AI replacing jobs and a economic slowdown. And if the labor market continues to stay healthy, it could give the Fed cover to move forward with rate cuts later this year.
What's interesting though, is that the market is only pricing in a 12% chance of a rate cut this year, but also a 12% chance of a rate hike. So that tells me the market is still somewhat concerned that elevated oil prices could cause inflation to rise and force the Fed to either hike rates or at least hold them where they are.
Speaking of inflation, we are getting a CPI report next week, so we should get more data there. So we're going to be staying on top of all that stuff. Make sure you guys are subscribed to the podcast and tuning in every day to stay in the loop. Let's run through some headlines, starting with CoreWeave and Iron. Both CoreWeave and Iron reported earnings last night.
You know, these are the up and coming neocloud companies that rent out data center capacity, specifically built for AI workloads. And the earnings were really interesting. Let's start with CoreWeave first. It's the household name. It's been one of the hottest stocks of the year, but the earnings were a mixed bag.
Revenues did more than double to just over $2 billion, beating Wall Street estimates, but everything else on the earnings was a miss. For one, the company lost $740 million in the quarter, which was more than expected. Then to make matters worse, they gave Q2 revenue guidance that came in below estimates.
And then the company says they're going to have to spend even more money this year on CapEx with that number rising to between $31 billion and $35 billion. Management is blaming the rising CapEx on component costs becoming more expensive. Now, here's the thing about CoreWeave. They're funding most of that CapEx with debt. CoreWeave ended the quarter with $25 billion in debt on the books.
Now, the good news is the company does have a contracted backlog of nearly $100 billion. So the demand is clearly there. The question, though, is whether the math works out when you're borrowing so much money to meet it. Now, CoreWeave has to either buy or lease the data centers. They have to buy all the GPUs. They have to connect everything. They have to pay for the power.
And all of that is really expensive. Investors are starting to get a bit nervous. CoreWeave stock is down 8% this morning at the time of this recording. Now, let's talk about Iron. They're a neocloud company based out of Australia, and their earnings were a huge miss.
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