LEAFS WIN! | May 5, 2026
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How could the Draft Lottery go for the Leafs?
podcasts with your host steve dangle adam wilde and jesse blake what a day what a day what a day and by the way the end of this podcast is gonna be really interesting if you're watching listening to it recorded because it will be live but we call it live to tape in the business well all of our podcasts are technically live kind of tape to us yes yes yeah yeah and to maddie and maddie maddie all the podcasts are live to you yeah isn't that don't you feel special i feel so special
You are. You're the mad duck. Thank you. Mad duck.
Quack, quack.
I do want to say... Yeah, the last 30 minutes of this podcast are our live show that happened during the draft lottery.
That's right. And that's what's happening tonight. We're very excited about that. So what's going to be great about this for you, hopefully, listening, we're trying to create an experience where we're all hopeful and happy right now. And then we'll see what happens. Listen, this... Weirdly enough, and again, we're going to get to the playoffs and stuff. I saw a lot of people commenting on yesterday's episode being like, well, you didn't even talk about as if there was anything else to talk about in the hockey world yesterday. Give me a freaking break. Yeah, we'll talk about your series, but come on.
Nearly 100 minute show. And we're doing another show today. Yeah.
And you're getting your playoffs today. So I'm not going to spend a ton of time on the Leafs right now. We got that later on in the show, right? But boys, this John Chayka said it and he's right. This could make their job a whole lot easier. Oh, my God. A whole lot easier. So my question to you is, all I want to know, you get into the top five. Are you drafting best player or are you drafting position because the Leafs need defense so fucking badly?
Never hurts to have a center as well.
Sure. So they could use a center. McKenna's not, is he not?
Well, I mean, you can convert anyone apparently. Yes, you can. Mitch Marner.
Yeah. No, McKenna plays left wing.
Yeah. Well, damn.
Penn State, right? It might be. So here's the thing. He could be a center. Yeah.
What insights are shared about the Leafs' draft strategy?
Here's the thing. They actually can't pick all around, right? It's, I believe, the first pick.
Second pick, third pick, fifth pick.
Second pick. No, they can't have third.
Yeah, they have a 0.8% chance of picking third.
Oh, okay, so virtually can't have third.
But fourth pick, they can't have.
Can't have. I think I have that right. Yeah, there's a graphic that was going around. The actually most likely scenario is they lose the pick. The far more likely scenario is they lose the pick. Michael Amato.
I did have that right. 0.3%. They can pick third. 0%. They can pick fourth. 24.5%. They could pick fifth. 8.6%. Second, 8.5% first. And I believe isn't sixth like 45%? Yeah, the rest of the percent is sixth.
Yeah, there's a reason this adds up to like, I don't know, 40 or something. Just off the top of my head, it's not great. That's where they are right now.
The odds are that you will remain, you are most likely to remain in the spot that you're in, but these are the odds that they could move up.
What I was going to say is here. Let me let me say this part first. Michael, I don't just let me just say this. If he said if you want the Leafs to keep their pick tonight, the simplest way to look at it is you're hoping for Vancouver, Chicago, New York, Calgary, Toronto or Washington to win the lottery. That is how, if one of those teams wins it, Vancouver, Chicago, New York, Calgary, Toronto, Washington, there it is.
There it is.
Go ahead.
There's a lot of defensemen. So that's good for Huff, Carrolls, the Latvian kids, Smits.
Yeah, and then there's Malhotra at center.
Caleb Malhotra, a pair of people saying good things. Stenberg, McKenna. So how many names did I just list? Six or seven.
Six, seven.
What are the implications of the Leafs' draft position?
Okay. If you top 10 protected.
So here's the thing. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Adam, if you top 10 protected, that would have been great. But if you give up the pick, you are very likely giving up one of the names I just said. Caleb Malhotra would be devastating. That kid's crazy.
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Chapters
8 chapters
1
How could the Draft Lottery go for the Leafs?
0:07–2:04
2
What insights are shared about the Leafs' draft strategy?
2:04–3:57
3
What are the implications of the Leafs' draft position?
3:57–6:45
4
How do the Leafs compare to other teams in the playoffs?
6:45–51:24
5
What are the implications of the Leafs winning the draft lottery?
51:24–51:49
6
How does the draft lottery affect the future of the Leafs?
51:49–52:20
7
What are the reactions to the draft lottery results?
52:20–52:43
8
What does this mean for the upcoming NHL season?
52:43–1:35:48