For nearly eight decades, deterrence has been the fragile cornerstone of global security—built on the promise that overwhelming retaliation would keep the peace. But in today’s multipolar world, that framework is under unprecedented strain. In this episode, we explore why the old Cold War playbook no longer works and why the four pillars of deterrence—capability, credibility, communication, and rationality—are eroding all at once.We break down:The Cold War benchmark — how bipolar rivalry created a managed stability, and why today’s U.S.-Russia-China “three-body problem” is far more unstable.Russia’s nuclear coercion and hybrid warfare — designed to fracture NATO’s credibility.China’s military rise — eroding America’s ability to deter by denial in the Indo-Pacific and reshaping the balance over Taiwan.The technological assault — hypersonic missiles, cyber operations, space warfare, and AI-driven disinformation that blur the line between conventional and nuclear conflict, compressing decision time to minutes.The takeaway: deterrence hasn’t disappeared, but its logic is faltering under geopolitical pressure and disruptive technology. Adapting this timeless concept to a new era of instability isn’t optional—it’s the existential challenge of our time.Perfect for listeners who want to understand why the balance of terror that kept the Cold War cold may not protect us in the decades ahead.

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“What did the council decide on item 42?” — answered with the speaker and the moment.

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