Thoughts on the Market
Episodes
Andrew Sheets: Are Lower Interest Rates Always Beneficial?
20 Sep 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today's episode, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets says although lower interest rates help boost economic activity, the full impact is mor...
Michael Zezas: Investors Look for Progress on U.S-China Trade
18 Sep 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas says a potential improvement in some key U.S. economic indicators will need real progre...
Special Series: Which Way is U.S. Spending Trending?
17 Sep 2019
Contributed by Lukas
Which generations spend more: Boomers or Millennials/Gen Z? On this special episode, equity analyst Lauren Cassel takes a look at which sectors stand ...
Mike Wilson: Value Stocks Have Their Moment
16 Sep 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson dives into last week’s historic reversal between value and growth stocks. Can the value r...
Andrew Sheets: Is There a Downside to Cutting Interest Rates?
13 Sep 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets asks the timely question, “If lower interest rates stimulate growth, why wouldn’t...
Special Series: From Baby Boom to Youth Boom
10 Sep 2019
Contributed by Lukas
Is America’s next heyday ahead? On this special episode, Chief U.S. Economist Ellen Zentner explains why America’s youth may be set to power U.S. ...
Mike Wilson: Home on the Range Bound?
09 Sep 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today's podcast, Investors may be feeling some déjà vu as upbeat news on trade drives a new rally. Could markets break out this time or is anothe...
Andrew Sheets: What Happens When the Price Isn’t Right?
06 Sep 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets says as global growth weakens, investors tend to focus on the most desirable companie...
Michael Zezas: Pondering a World of Unresolved Trade Issues
04 Sep 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas takes a moment to consider the long-term effects regardless of whether or not ...
Mike Wilson: New Data Sends Concerning Signs for U.S. Stocks
03 Sep 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today's podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says a popular narrative forecasted a rebound for the second half of 2019. How...
Andrew Sheets: Title: Can Central Banks Cure Market Woes?
30 Aug 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets examines central bank actions to boost markets and the negative effects—intended or...
Michael Zezas: U.S.-China Trade and “The Prisoner’s Dilemma” (Replay)
28 Aug 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s episode, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas explains why a key principle of game theory could help investors navigate markets amid ...
Mike Wilson: On Recession Risks, Perspective Matters
26 Aug 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, would stock markets be full steam ahead with a healthy dose of Fed rate cuts or a lack of concerns over trade? Chief Investment ...
Andrew Sheets: All Hail the U.S. Consumer?
23 Aug 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets dives into a key debate on the U.S. economy: How could the risk of recession be risin...
Michael Zezas: Time to Rethink Allocations?
21 Aug 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast: Amid a bond rally and stock volatility, August has been quite a ride. How should investors think about their allocations? Analys...
Mike Wilson: Back Next Week
19 Aug 2019
Contributed by Lukas
Mike Wilson is off this week. Please check back Wednesday for more Thoughts on the Market.
Andrew Sheets: The Yield Curve Inverts for a Reason
16 Aug 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Across-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets shares three takeaways from this week’s inversion of the yield curve, historically...
Michael Zezas: The Story Behind Falling Bond Yields
14 Aug 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Head of U.S. Public Policy and Municipal Strategy Michael Zezas explains how the challenges facing U.S. farmers can provide insi...
Mike Wilson: Navigating the Q3 Dog Days
12 Aug 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson identifies several catalysts that could drive increased Q3 volatility. Are markets still fa...
Andrew Sheets: Can Central Banks Keep Up with Market Expectations?
09 Aug 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Cross Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets looks at how the expectations markets are placing on central banks, as much...
Michael Zezas: The Potential Impact of Lasting Tariffs
07 Aug 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On this episode, Head of Public Policy Research Michael Zezas walks investors through the current impasse on U.S.-China trade. How might new tariffs h...
Mike Wilson: Markets Face a “Sell the News” Moment
05 Aug 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson asks whether the Fed rate cut and reemergence of trade tensions rattled mark...
Andrew Sheets: The Fed’s Great Expectations Quandary
02 Aug 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today's podcast, Markets met the Fed rate cut with a collective shrug. Could investor expectations make it harder for the Fed to succeed? Chief Cro...
Michael Zezas: Trade Uncertainty and Corporate Confidence
31 Jul 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas examines how continued trade policy uncertainty is weighing on corporate confidence and...
Mike Wilson: Will the Fed Surprise on a Rate Cut?
29 Jul 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson gauges the reaction to a potential Wednesday Fed rate cut. Have markets already priced in a...
Special: Access & Opportunity Preview
26 Jul 2019
Contributed by Lukas
Morgan Stanley's Carla Harris talks with Charles Hudson, founder and Managing Partner at Precursor Ventures, a seed-stage investor bringing ...
Michael Zezas: The Fed Rate Cut Debate for Bond Investors
24 Jul 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Head of Public Policy and Municipal Strategy Michael Zezas considers the debate between the consensus view of a potential 2...
Mike Wilson: Weighing a Potential Fed Rate Cut
22 Jul 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says what matters for markets now isn't how much the Fed or other central banks could cut—...
Andrew Sheets: 3 Consensus Views Worth Questioning
19 Jul 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-asset Strategist Andrew Sheets digs into three key debates around central bank policy expectations, valuations and i...
Michael Zezas: 2020 Election: How Likely Is Medicare-for-All?
17 Jul 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Head of U.S. Public Policy research Michael Zezas asks “Would a Democratic presidential win mean the end of the road for priva...
Mike Wilson: For the S&P 500, Breaking Out Is Hard to Do
15 Jul 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says a sustained breakout above 3,000 has eluded the S&P 500. Will the Fed’s potentia...
Andrew Sheets: A Second (and Third) Opinion for Equity Markets
12 Jul 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On this episode, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets examines the models for stock performance, and how they are all leading to a similar concl...
Michael Zezas: Healthcare Reform - Here We Go Again?
10 Jul 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, as the 2020 Election nears, healthcare reform is a central debate once again. Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas shares po...
Mike Wilson: 3 Summer Surprises Investors Could Be Missing
08 Jul 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says markets are typically savvy on how and when to price news events. But are markets over...
Andrew Sheets: A Narrow Path
05 Jul 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets says that while conditions could line up for market success, the variables that ...
Michael Zezas: How Markets View the Pause on Trade Tariffs
03 Jul 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas says a pause on trade tariffs should be good news for markets and growth, but is the pa...
Mike Wilson: A G20 Trade Truce?
01 Jul 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, markets are cheering this weekend’s pause on U.S.-China trade tensions. But is the potential progress enough to extend the lon...
Andrew Sheets: What to Watch from the G20
28 Jun 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets shares three possible trade outcomes from the G20—and how markets may react to a pa...
Michael Zezas: Indirect Impacts
26 Jun 2019
Contributed by Lukas
In today’s podcast, Head of U.S. Public Policy strategy Michael Zezas discusses how the great debate playing out in markets around trade is about mo...
Mike Wilson: Are Markets Putting Stock in Trade?
24 Jun 2019
Contributed by Lukas
With corporate confidence softening, could movement on U.S.-China trade at the G20 be the catalyst for growth in the second half of the year? Chief In...
Andrew Sheets: Let’s Say the Fed Cuts Rates in July…
21 Jun 2019
Contributed by Lukas
Morgan Stanley's economics team now expects the Fed to cut interest rates by half a percent possibly as soon as July. On today’s podcast, Chief Cros...
Michael Zezas: Three Possible Trade Paths from the G20
19 Jun 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Head of U.S. Public Policy strategy Michael Zezas says three likely U.S.-China trade scenarios will come out of the G20. But a t...
Mike Wilson: How Confident Are U.S. Businesses in the Economy?
17 Jun 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s episode, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson shares a readout on the firm’s proprietary Business Conditions Index. Are the data soften...
Andrew Sheets: The Dangers of Cheering for Weaker Data
14 Jun 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-asset Strategist Andrew Sheets provides a bit of historical perspective on the logic of rooting for weaker data and ...
Michael Zezas: Why ‘Slowbalization’ May Be Feeding Trade Tensions
12 Jun 2019
Contributed by Lukas
Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas says that independent of current trade concerns, the trend toward globalized supply chains is fading, as comp...
Mike Wilson: Why Trade Tensions Are Only Part of the Story
10 Jun 2019
Contributed by Lukas
Investors and media have been hyper-focused on trade and Fed policymaking. But according to Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson, some key economic da...
Andrew Sheets: For Markets, Signs, Signs, Everywhere Signs
07 Jun 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-asset Strategist Andrew Sheets says that while discussion of a Fed rate cut may have helped markets rebound, several...
Michael Zezas: U.S.-Mexico Trade Adds to Recession Risks
05 Jun 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s episode, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas says further escalation of trade tensions could come with a cost. Are th...
Mike Wilson: U.S. Equities: How Much Correction is Ahead?
03 Jun 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s TOTM, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says trade tensions may be rattling markets, but the fundamentals are the real culpr...
Andrew Sheets: Fed to the Rescue? Maybe Not.
31 May 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Cross Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets examines the notion that the Fed stands willing and able to reduce interest rates and...
Michael Zezas: U.S.-China Trade and “The Prisoner’s Dilemma”
29 May 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s episode, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas explains why a key principle of game theory could help investors navigate markets amid ...
Mike Wilson: Are U.S. Economic Indicators Flashing Yellow?
27 May 2019
Contributed by Lukas
On today’s podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says although some investors may assume recent equities volatility is based on trade worrie...