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Timcast IRL

US Deploys 3,000 More Marines, 82nd Airborne Deploy To IRAN, WE ARE GOING IN

25 Mar 2026

Transcription

Chapter 1: What is discussed at the start of this section?

0.031 - 19.326 Unknown

Marketing is hard. But I'll tell you a little secret. It doesn't have to be. Let me point something out. You're listening to a podcast right now, and it's great. You love the host. You seek it out and download it. You listen to it while driving, working out, cooking, even going to the bathroom. Podcasts are a pretty close companion. And this is a podcast ad. Did I get your attention?

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19.907 - 44.151 Unknown

You can reach great listeners like yourself with podcast advertising from Libsyn Ads. Choose from hundreds of top podcasts offering host endorsements or run a pre-produced ad like this one across thousands of shows to reach your target audience in their favorite podcasts with Libsyn Ads. Go to LibsynAds.com. That's L-I-B-S-Y-N ads.com today. Gen Z, y'all getting drafted.

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44.592 - 63.819 Unknown

Okay, maybe not, but there's this new report that they've increased the age limit for enlistments to 42, and they don't care if you've been convicted of marijuana or light drug possession. So the 42-year-old thing is obvious. They want older people to be able to join the military. I wonder why. They're also giving out steak and lobster to our troops.

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64.3 - 83.602 Unknown

And the best part is the marijuana thing, because I'm like, okay, now they're basically saying we need to open up the pool a little bit wider. That one's targeting Gen Z. But here's the interesting thing. The real concern over the draft... immigrants are worried. Not a joke. This is the report. Young people are kind of like, I'm undraftable because they're just like hikikomori.

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83.622 - 99.057 Unknown

If you know what that means, it means they sit at home and play video games all day and they don't go outside. But immigrants are like, uh-oh. And there's a lot of people saying, you know, it would be funny if Biden brought in 20 million illegal immigrants from Honduras, not for the economy, but to just unload them all in Iran.

99.738 - 123.936 Unknown

And then as John Bolton would say, this time next year, we'll be eating plantanos and baliera in Tehran. which he never said, but would be absolutely hilarious if Iran just became like new Honduras. But the big news, of course, is, my friends, if you've been following this show, you are not surprised to learn that we are deploying the 82nd Airborne Division, 3,000 more troops to the Middle East.

123.956 - 145.199 Unknown

The speculation being this will be for the occupation of Karg Island, the key oil distribution hub for Iran. And we've been talking about this. We had heard rumors in the area about, you know, people who know other people who see them packing up and getting ready to go. Rumors of deployment. And it appears that it's actually going to happen.

145.66 - 153.671 Unknown

As many are saying, this is increasing the probability that we will see boots on the ground in Iran. That being said, Donald Trump has said he's in peace negotiations with Iran.

Chapter 2: What are the implications of the U.S. military draft age increase?

154.152 - 178.168 Unknown

And they gave him a truly, truly wonderful gift related to oil and natural gas. But he's not going to tell you what it is. And that's that's good. But I got to be honest, all the while we're being told that things are winding down. But all of the military action we see shows a dramatic escalation. Now, there's another big conspiracy theory. I had talked about this 2019.

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179.23 - 196.257 Unknown

An oil refinery exploded at 4 a.m. in PA. Several hours later, Donald Trump announced that he was canceling strikes on Iran. At the time, I speculated, could this have been a cyber attack? And Donald Trump pulled back on the attack to avoid an escalation of war between Iran and the United States. I don't know.

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Interestingly, yesterday, only a few hours after Donald Trump announced postponing the attack in Iran, an oil refinery exploded. Now, that's just some wacky speculation, right? Except a Saudi X account posted only a few hours before the explosion. that just across the street there would be an oil refinery explosion and then deleted it. But it's too late. The Internet is forever.

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It was captured and reposted, suggesting there was foreknowledge of this explosion at the plant, which makes one wonder, was this a cyber attack? We're going to talk about that and a whole lot more. Joe Kent says he's willing to testify in the trial of Charlie Kirk, which is being called betrayal. We've got a lot to talk about. Before we do, my friends, I've got a great sponsor for you.

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The brand new pocket hose copperhead with pocket pivot. It's a total game changer. Richard Karn from Home Improvement did a TV ad with pocket hose and I thought it looked incredible. That's a script, but honestly, I actually did. And my wife and I were laughing like, look, they got the guy from Home Improvement. He's back and he's selling hoses. That's incredible.

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Message and data rates may apply. See terms for details. But of course, my friends, don't forget to also smash that like button. Share the show with everyone you know. It's going to be a big one. Joining us tonight to talk about this, we've got Carolyn Wren.

Chapter 3: How does the Pentagon's troop deployment to Iran affect U.S. relations?

385.511 - 390.86 Tate Brown

We're not doing intros anymore. Not for the regulars. Like, does Tim need to intro himself now?

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390.9 - 394.666 Unknown

I've never intro'd myself ever on this show. I've never said, hi, I'm Tim Poole.

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394.786 - 399.433 Tate Brown

Exactly, so if he doesn't... I think I might have done it one time to be like, should I introduce myself?

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399.534 - 410.371 Unknown

Were we becoming too formal of a news show with the introductions? No, it's like, everybody knows who you are, you know what I mean? Like, the guest needs an intro, but everybody else is like... And our catchphrases were getting kind of lame.

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410.431 - 417.301 Carter Banks

Carter's here. Yeah, it's starting to sound too rehearsed, so they're like, you know, we don't like... Not just that, but it's like, we get it. We know who Tate is, you know what I mean?

417.321 - 419.164 Unknown

And, like, Ian's going to say something about graphene.

420.306 - 420.887 Tate Brown

Catchphrase.

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Did that doc ever drop it?

422.409 - 422.97 Carter Banks

Never will.

Chapter 4: What does the recent oil refinery explosion signify?

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Do you think... We are going to go in. Do you think it is escalating or do you think Trump is winding things down? I think the president wants to leave all of his options open. I didn't ask you what the president's going to do. I'm asking you if you think we are winding things down or do you think we're escalating?

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603.53 - 612.4 Elad Aliahu

We're escalating. We're ramping things up. The president could not leave this regime in power moving forward. The current Ayatollah, his entire family was killed by the president.

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612.581 - 614.723 Unknown

I think the current Ayatollah is actually dead, too.

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615.698 - 630.981 Elad Aliahu

Yeah, well, if he's not dead, he'd have a lot of reason to try to avenge his father, of course. So I don't think we could moderate this current regime. And I think the president knows that. So I think if we leave these guys in power, they'd probably race to the bomb. And I think that's what the president's mindset on this issue is at this point now.

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631.182 - 645.659 Elad Aliahu

We've done way too much damage to not take the regime out. Is this the most you've ever supported Donald Trump? Look, I knew the president was not going to allow this regime to get a nuclear weapon because he's been crystal clear on this issue for decades.

645.679 - 657.435 Elad Aliahu

I know a lot of people like to project their politics onto the president and pretend that the president is flipping a new script all of a sudden, but he's actually been extremely consistent when it comes to this issue about Iran not being able to get a nuclear weapon.

657.636 - 677.337 Elad Aliahu

And actually, I saw Michael Tracy actually quote this, the president talking about this 20-some-odd years ago, saying how he would take Karg Island— if it came down to it, if push came to shove. So I don't know, you must be a little bit conflicted. It sounds like you worked for a lot of neocons in the past and now have kind of, I don't know, would be too supportive of an act like this.

677.397 - 682.189 Elad Aliahu

It seems like John McCain's wet dream. Maybe you would know a little bit more about that than I would.

682.473 - 701.534 Caroline Wren

Yeah, I'm conflicted on it, especially since I spent so much time working for, I feel like, that wing of the party. And then I left it in, like, a kind of public breakup. I did a lot of interviews about it. And now I feel like I'm right back in it. And I am very nervous about this. You know, I... didn't want any more foreign intervention.

Chapter 5: What are the implications of the SAVE Act on Republican politics?

3621.86 - 3625.543 Unknown

You know, I will be honest. If they pass the SAVE Act, Republicans never lose again.

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3625.625 - 3629.398 Elad Aliahu

They're definitely not passing the Save Act. I agree. Zero percent chance on that one.

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3629.418 - 3636.242 Unknown

So do you guys, should we start just exercising now and smoking so we can get ready for prison?

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3637.69 - 3642.935 Elad Aliahu

No, we got to get tough and in shape and be ready to be shipped off and fight for our great country.

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3643.135 - 3659.331 Tate Brown

I don't know if it was discussed in the show previously, like, why you guys were in Austin, but do you think there's any credibility to the idea that the Republicans don't want to pass the SAVE Act because they would just be getting primaried left and right? Because, like, a lot of these primary votes are propped up with probably a lot of shady tactics. How does a John Cornyn rout in Paxton?

Chapter 6: How does the SAVE Act relate to military readiness and public perception?

3659.692 - 3678.269 Unknown

That's a fair point, but I view it more likely that Republicans and Democrats share the ethos of, We here in Congress are smarter than you and we know it. And so they don't want people to vote. Oh, I'm just imagining like Thune is sitting with Democrats and he's going, oh, God, could you imagine if people voted for us?

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3679.07 - 3700.971 Unknown

And so to be to be fair, I actually don't like the popular vote for the Senate and it should be through state appointment. But I think the. The actual view is we want procedural elections, not popular elections. We want to win by the numbers of the machine, not by the whims of the people. So if they pass the SAVE Act, you're going to actually have people making decisions.

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3701.371 - 3706.881 Unknown

So long as they don't, Democrats get elected by just convincing morons to vote who don't know what they're talking about.

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Chapter 7: What are the consequences of the SAVE Act failure for young men?

3706.861 - 3725.124 Elad Aliahu

What I hate most about this is that it feels so just theatrical. The whole time, the president knew the SAVE Act wasn't going to pass. John Cornyn knew the SAVE Act wasn't going to pass. Chuck Schumer knew the SAVE Act wasn't going to pass. Everybody knew that you needed 60 votes to overcome the filibuster, and the Republicans don't have that.

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3725.144 - 3743.373 Elad Aliahu

They weren't going to flip, what, eight some odd Democrats to do that. John Cornyn was never going to get rid of the filibuster. Senators like the filibuster because it makes them more powerful. It makes each individual senator more powerful because now if you want to reach that 60-vote threshold, you need to compromise.

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3743.573 - 3750.546 Elad Aliahu

And that allows more people, more senators to stuff more pork in each bill to bring back home the bacon.

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Chapter 8: How does the podcast address the cultural shift in political engagement?

3750.867 - 3769.604 Elad Aliahu

So it just— It feels like a dumb waste of time. It feels like some people were let on. This was used as a sort of pressure release valve for some people who thought we were going to get some form of voter ID, but it was never going anywhere. And, you know, I felt like I was taking crazy pills for a moment because it was like, I don't know, am I missing something here? Do I not understand?

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3769.624 - 3789.67 Caroline Wren

You're missing the money. The legislative process? I always – you've got to trace the money on these things. First of all, a 60-vote threshold is not in the Constitution. So that was a rule-making decision I think in 1913 that then kind of – but it is like nowhere in the Constitution. It says you need 51 votes. So it is ridiculous. We have 60. 60-vote threshold.

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3789.65 - 3804.824 Caroline Wren

threshold came along with lobbying. Why? Because corporations did not want, think if you're a big pharma company and Elizabeth Warren or someone just goes and gets to drop a bill that says that we need to lower insulin prices and you only need 51 votes and all of a sudden these senators actually really do have to be on record on a vote like that.

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3805.184 - 3819.117 Caroline Wren

When you do the 60 vote threshold and no one's ever had more than I think 56 or 57 of one party, then you can always blame the other side or whoever else and claim this bipartisanship, but really it's a massive corporate lobby trying to keep this filibuster to exist because

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3819.097 - 3833.48 Caroline Wren

These senators would not be able to survive in their jobs if they were actually taking votes that we the people wanted them to take on things such as an 80-20 issue like voter ID. So then it goes to the Democrats said we will lift the filibuster. This was to pass H.R. 1.

3833.52 - 3849.124 Caroline Wren

That was Nancy Pelosi's big – their election bill, basically the same thing, that now they're saying you can't federalize elections. It's like, OK, you all – All of you went on record saying you would nuke the filibuster to pass your H.R.1, which was federalizing elections in the way you want. Two senators didn't, and that was Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema.

3849.384 - 3865.747 Caroline Wren

They are no longer senators because of that one vote alone. Democrats only had 52 seats, so they couldn't get it passed to nuke—you had to actually vote and get 51 to nuke the filibuster. And in fact, Sinema couldn't even go to like a wedding in Arizona. She would be booed out of it. The Democrat base was so pissed. So the Democrat Party has made their decision.

3865.847 - 3881.786 Caroline Wren

When they take power, the filibuster is gone. Now we Republicans are in power and we have all three branches of government and we can't get Trump's agendas passed. And I think it's saying that we're holding on to this filibuster rule that is not even in the Constitution. And this is an incredibly important vote for them to take.

3882.167 - 3887.173 Caroline Wren

And at minimum, I think we should take a vote on the filibuster because they won't tell us which senators are against it.

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