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UBS On-Air: Market Moves

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'China’s deflation – a local affair'

08 Feb 2024

Description

China’s consumer prices have been in deflation since last July (producer prices for far longer). January consumer price deflation was the worst in over 14 years, but this is distorted. The lunar new year is (literally) a moveable feast—occurring in January 2023, and in February 2024. That distorts food price patterns, exaggerating deflation. Nonetheless, deflation trend is indicative of weak domestic demand.

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