College: Calculating the Risks

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WSJ Your Money Briefing 6 min 2 speakers 7 chapters transcribed 2 months ago
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What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

J.R. Whelan 0:05
With your money briefing, I'm J.R. Whelan at The Wall Street Journal in New York. Going to college isn't enough these days. What's important in order to find success in the workforce is selecting the right major and being in a position where you can finish college. We'll explain more in a moment. First, these money and market stories you should know. The producer price index, that's the measure of prices that businesses receive for their goods and services, edged up 0.1% in November from a month earlier. That was a much more moderate gain compared to the 0.6% increase in October and 0.2% jump in September. The more moderate increase last month was mainly due to a sharp drop in energy prices.

How have college enrollment rates changed over the last 40 years and why does it matter?

J.R. Whelan 0:44
The producer price index usually follows the same trends as other broad inflation gauges, but it doesn't always translate to what consumers actually pay. Other inflation readings, including the Federal Reserve's Personal Consumption Expenditures Index, have suggested no signs of accelerating inflation. And what's the value of a mansion near President Trump's Mar-a-Lago Club in Palm Beach, Florida? as much as $44.5 million. The Wall Street Journal Real Estate Bureau reports that Corey Schottenstein, a Trump elector in the 2016 election, is offering a 13,000-square-foot mansion on Everglades Island, about two miles away from Trump's club. It's still under construction, but would also include an additional 4,000 square feet of external living space.
J.R. Whelan 1:32
The house will have six bedrooms, a temperature-controlled wine room, a gym with a living wall of moss, a rooftop terrace, and a pool that wraps around the back of the house. Schottenstein purchased the property in 2016 for just over $12 million.

Why did the wage premium for college degrees decline after 2000 and what explains its recent rise?

J.R. Whelan 1:47
See the story and illustrations on WSJ.com and the WSJ app.
J.R. Whelan 1:59
Going to college, getting a degree, and finding success in the workforce isn't as sure a thing as it once was, and has a lot to do with what a student studies and whether they actually graduate. Wall Street Journal higher education reporter Douglas Belkin joins us with details as part of the journal's ongoing research and ongoing studies of the risk of going to college. So, Doug, the number of high school graduates who attend college is significantly higher than it was 40 years ago, but how they manage their college career, that seems to be very pivotal.
Douglas Belkin 2:29
There was a big push by the federal government in the 1980s to get more people to enroll in college, and it's been very successful.

How common is underemployment for college graduates and how long does it last?

Douglas Belkin 2:36
But the outcomes of what happens after people enroll are fairly uneven. And that, along with the fact that there's been such an increase in the cost of going to college, the risk associated to enrollment has become a significant factor for folks who are considering what to do after high school graduation.
J.R. Whelan 2:53
In your feature in the journal, you point out that the advantage of a college degree peaked in 2000 but is now growing again. What caused the decline, and what is the reasoning behind the more recent uptick?
Douglas Belkin 3:05
The labor market's been really tight right now, but initially what happened was there was just a lot of kids came out of college, and it devalued the degree. So there are certain degrees from certain schools and certain subjects that maintain a really high premium, but there's a lot of degrees from a lot of schools that do not. So there's this real distinction between what kind of degree you're getting and where you're getting it from. As the labor market tightens and the skills that employers demand get increasingly more technical and the premium on higher order thinking continues to grow, that's helping to drive up the salary differential between a high school graduate and a college graduate.
J.R. Whelan 3:43
And the nature of the workforce is another variable here. Many college students don't always land a job that actually requires a college degree.

What financial risks do non-completers face with student loans and defaults?

Douglas Belkin 3:50
Yeah, this is a really interesting and powerful factor that is often not taken into account when folks enter college. But when people graduate, there's a significant amount of underemployment, and that lasts through the 20s for probably about almost half of people who graduate.

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