Consumers' Stimulus Dilemma: Spend, Save or Pay Down Debt?

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WSJ Your Money Briefing 9 min 2 speakers 7 chapters transcribed 2 months ago
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What is the episode about and who is hosting the discussion?

J.R. Whalen 0:05
Here's your money briefing for Tuesday, January 26th. I'm J.R. Whelan for The Wall Street Journal. A big chunk of President Biden's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 relief proposal is meant for a new round of direct stimulus payments. One goal is to help kickstart the economy. But earlier rounds of stimulus have shown us that it's not a given that Americans will run out to put that money into the economy.
Harriet Torry 0:28
And what every economist will tell you is that the economic outlook hinges completely on the health crisis. If there's no resolution of the health crisis, then there is no economic recovery.
J.R. Whalen 0:40
Coming up, our economics reporter Harriet Torrey will discuss what another potential stimulus check could mean for Americans' saving and spending habits. That's after the break.
J.R. Whalen 0:56
One effect of the government's stimulus program has been to push the nation's savings rate way up to nearly 13 percent, the highest since the period following the Great Depression. But economists are hoping Americans will spend that saved up money later this year and accelerate the economy's recovery.

How did earlier stimulus payments affect Americans’ finances and savings rates?

J.R. Whalen 1:12
Our economics reporter Harriet Torrey is here to talk about it. Harriet, thanks for taking the time to be with us.
Harriet Torry 1:17
Hi, thanks.
J.R. Whalen 1:18
So we've talked on the show before about how a lot of people were socking away the federal stimulus, you know, the $1,200 checks that were sent out last year instead of spending them. What do we know about how people spent and saved the first stimulus checks?
Harriet Torry 1:31
Based on what we know, you know, from various studies and surveys and so on, it looks like, you know, of course, when these payments came through the first round of stimulus payments in March, some people needed the money really urgently. You know, there was very high unemployment and people needed the money right away. It's spent on food and rent and bills and things like that.

How much of the first stimulus checks were saved, spent, or used to pay down debt?

Harriet Torry 1:48
But but actually, it turns out that really. more than a third of the fiscal stimulus checks did get saved by consumers. And then about that same amount, again, was used to pay down debt. So it was sort of under 30% that was spent right away. And the rest of it, you know, people held on to it. Of course, people held on to it because there was a lot of anxiety, a lot of concern and uncertainty about the future. And, you know, when people are worried about losing their jobs, it's, you know, they've been building up their financial buffer in a big way. But what we're beginning to see is that people are now saying they, you know, some consumers have received their second stimulus checks. And then, of course, many, many people who have received these checks are actually still working.
Harriet Torry 2:30
There is a big, you know, there are a lot of people who are unemployed and really need that money to get by and to buy food every day. But many other people, although they're receiving these stimulus checks, they do also still have jobs. So they're putting the money aside. And, you know, for some people, this is nice security to have in case there was an emergency, they have a bit of a financial buffer.

Why are some households still saving stimulus money instead of spending it?

Harriet Torry 2:50
But others are starting to think ahead, you know, we're seeing a rollout of vaccines. And for some people, they've got all these savings, and they kind of want to maybe spend it on something a bit more fun. You know, we have People saying, well, you know, I want to save my money for a vacation or, you know, I've been stuck in lockdown all these months. I want to put my money towards, you know, dining out when I can again.
J.R. Whalen 3:08
You know, we hear a lot of advice about how much you should save. What do economists say about that? And do they hope Americans develop better saving habits as a result of the pandemic?
Harriet Torry 3:16
Yeah, I mean, it's interesting that, you know, there's the old saying that one man's spending is another man's income. So, you know, in some sense, you can save too much. It can be bad for the economy if there's so much saving, especially with interest rates being pretty low. It's not like you're getting a big return on those savings. But this has been an exceptionally weird time during COVID because we saw the savings rate just spike to these levels that hadn't been seen basically since the depression because people were so fearful.

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