The Lure of Near-Zero Interest Rates

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WSJ Your Money Briefing 6 min 2 speakers 7 chapters transcribed 2 months ago
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What does 'near-zero' interest rate policy mean for everyday consumers?

J.R. Whalen 0:05
Here's your money briefing for Wednesday, September 23rd. I'm J.R. Whalen for The Wall Street Journal. The Federal Reserve's intent to keep interest rates near zero for the next several years might make it seem like the perfect time to borrow money or refinance, but it can present a difficult set of choices for consumers.
Julia Carpenter 0:23
So if you're thinking about what this would look like in someone's individual life, they might be able to take advantage of a super low mortgage rate, but they might then be forestalled when it comes to refinancing because banks are actually pricing refinancing higher than they are for new mortgage originations. Or they might be getting a new credit card offer. We're seeing those rebound, but they might be considering delaying retirement because the interest they're going to be earning on that saved income won't be as high as previously thought.
J.R. Whalen 0:50
Our personal finance reporter, Julia Carpenter, will talk about how to think long-term when it comes to super low interest rates. That's after the break.
J.R. Whalen 1:05
Interest rates hovering near zero for the foreseeable future is good news for Wall Street. But on Main Street, it means different things for different people. Personal finance reporter Julia Carpenter is here to discuss why consumers should think long term about low rates. So first of all, Julia, probably the most prominent effect of low rates so far is near record low mortgage rates. Should that be enough for people to go out and buy a house?
Julia Carpenter 1:29
I spoke with Mike Frattantoni. He's the chief economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association.

Should low mortgage rates be a reason to rush into buying a home?

Julia Carpenter 1:34
And I think he said something really insightful, which is that he would never encourage someone to rush out and buy a home just because rates are low. This, he said, is more of a prompt for people who've already been considering purchasing a home. And this is going to be the kind of thing that pushes them to make that decision or to say, all right, this is our time when we've already had our ducks in a row.
J.R. Whalen 1:53
So low rates should be more of, you know, a starting point?
Julia Carpenter 1:57
Absolutely. And some people may have already been thinking, you know, we have pretty much everything we need together. We're just waiting for when the time is right. And this is a sign for a lot of people that that right time is now.
J.R. Whalen 2:07
You know, the saying goes, cash is king. But anybody who's looked at their bank statement knows that these low rates can almost be, you know, almost be like a penalty for saving money.
Julia Carpenter 2:16
Definitely something I learned when reporting this story is that this is a scary time for retirees, people who've been relying on interest income. They're looking at all of that money in savings and thinking, is this going to be working for me as hard as I had expected it to? Things like 529 education accounts, savings accounts, retirement savings vehicles, those are going to be yielding far less now, likely producing less income. I spoke with one expert, Greg McBride. He's the chief financial analyst at Bankrate. And he said that for some retirees, this is equivalent to getting both feet stomped on and then kicked in the knee.

How do near-zero rates affect retirees and interest income expectations?

Julia Carpenter 2:51
And that kick in the knee is the interest income.
J.R. Whalen 2:54
Yikes, that sounds kind of painful. But, you know, the recession might lead people to consider delaying milestones in life, including retirement. That's something that should not be taken lightly.
Julia Carpenter 3:04
No, absolutely. I mean, it's discouraging for many people who are considering delaying retirement or potentially postponing some really important money milestones. But also it means that these should be considered really carefully. I spoke with one expert who said that there's tradeoffs to all of these things. So if you're delaying education, for example, delaying saving for education, then that means you're going to be getting your degree later. later. And you have to be thinking about what that means when you get your degree later. Same with delaying retirement. There's a lot of benefits to delaying retirement, but you have to make sure you're prepared to work longer and make sure you're prepared for that savings.

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