錄自 Lawrence Freedman 的著作《戰爭的未來:歷史》,探討了幾個世紀以來戰爭本質的演變。 資料首先描述了戰爭的下降趨勢,列舉了歷史暴力行為的減少和近期衝突的減少。然而,隨後轉向探討預測戰爭困難性,強調了政治發展、經濟壓力以及民族主義等因素如何影響衝突的可能性。 資料也深入研究了新技術的影響,特別是原子武器和網路攻擊的出現,以及它們對戰略思維和軍事行動的改變。此外,文中還討論了人道主義干預的挑戰以及「新戰爭」的出現,後者以非國家行為者、複雜的經濟動機和模糊的戰線為特徵,並探討了民主與和平之間的關係以及國家脆弱性在當代衝突中的作用。 最後,資料討論了未來的戰爭場景,包括大國競爭、城市作戰和氣候變遷的影響。
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