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Aaron David Miller

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
693 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

It's worth making one additional point, and that is the Iranians...

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

have deployed geography in a terrifying manner.

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

And the Iranians have two cards, more than two, but two cards, the capacity to close and manage the Straits of Hormuz and the capacity to undermine Gulf security and stability with their residual capacity after six weeks of war of short-range missiles and drones.

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

and that capacity remains.

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

So CIA, DIA, my time in government, I can't tell you how many exercises were run, how many intelligence reports indicated the problems and challenges should the Iranians control the Straits, and the difficult time that the American military would have reopening them.

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

So why this was never factored into the decision process

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

To launch a war of choice is one of the many intriguing and frankly depressing questions that need to be asked.

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

Those comments, like so many others that he makes, are tethered to a galaxy far, far away, not to the realities back here on planet Earth.

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

And frankly, we have to take the social media posts seriously and his interviews with the media.

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

But the reality is it reflects, I think, a degree of confusion or a nonchalance about this whole issue, which frankly is extremely worrisome to me.

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

There was no real strategy here.

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

And that's the problem in a war of choice.

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

Look, Iran is a brutal, repressive, authoritarian regime.

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

It is a nuclear weapons threshold state.

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

That is to say, it has all the elements, or at least had all the elements required to make a deliverable weapon.

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

The decision to make one has not been made.

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

There's no doubt that there ought to be a different Iranian regime, one committed to the security prosperity of

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

and freedom of its people, but we don't have that regime.

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

The question is, what is a sensible policy?

Fresh Air
A veteran diplomat breaks down the Iran war

This was a war of choice.