Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
These are the secular middle class of the Pahlavi era.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
In the hope that they can do this social engineering and create this Islamic society of their own.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
The bad news for them was that that didn't happen, and that memory persisted, and the middle class that was created since past 40 years is much larger in size than what it was, because there was, of course, the demographic revolution.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
That's the very foundation of it, is the demographic revolution.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
Population in Iran, I've written an article about it, actually.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
Population in Iran since the turn of the century, last century, 20th century, population of Iran was about 9 million or so.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
It's now 83 million.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
And that is, since 1979, the population was 35 million.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
Between the past 40 years, it's basically doubled.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
So it's 83 million.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
Although, one of the great successes, I don't want to bore you with the details about the demography, but it's important.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
Demographics is not boring.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
Well, you can see that the birth rate was very high.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
Otherwise, you wouldn't have doubled your population in a matter of four decades.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
But Iranians, because of the urban shift to an urban population, because of the growth of the middle class, because of the education...
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
They basically, the pattern of growth, population growth changed.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
Iran used to be 2.8 or 3% birth rate in around 1980s, I would say, 1970s, 1980s.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
Now it is 1.1%.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
And it's probably the most successful country in the Middle East in terms of the population control.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons
Despite the government's consistent attempt to try to encourage people to have more kids, middle class refuses to do that.