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Abbas Amanat

๐Ÿ‘ค Person
1407 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

These are the secular middle class of the Pahlavi era.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

In the hope that they can do this social engineering and create this Islamic society of their own.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

The bad news for them was that that didn't happen, and that memory persisted, and the middle class that was created since past 40 years is much larger in size than what it was, because there was, of course, the demographic revolution.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

That's the very foundation of it, is the demographic revolution.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

Population in Iran, I've written an article about it, actually.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

Population in Iran since the turn of the century, last century, 20th century, population of Iran was about 9 million or so.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

It's now 83 million.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

And that is, since 1979, the population was 35 million.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

Between the past 40 years, it's basically doubled.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

So it's 83 million.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

Although, one of the great successes, I don't want to bore you with the details about the demography, but it's important.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

Demographics is not boring.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

Well, you can see that the birth rate was very high.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

Otherwise, you wouldn't have doubled your population in a matter of four decades.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

But Iranians, because of the urban shift to an urban population, because of the growth of the middle class, because of the education...

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

They basically, the pattern of growth, population growth changed.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

Iran used to be 2.8 or 3% birth rate in around 1980s, I would say, 1970s, 1980s.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

Now it is 1.1%.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

And it's probably the most successful country in the Middle East in terms of the population control.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#334 โ€“ Abbas Amanat: Iran Protests, Mahsa Amini, History, CIA & Nuclear Weapons

Despite the government's consistent attempt to try to encourage people to have more kids, middle class refuses to do that.