Adam Elga
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
And it's something that I also have learned a lot from David Christensen about.
And that's the view that allows for a position that we've been kind of implicitly assuming was off the table.
And the position is this.
You should think, well,
I'm still right.
So stay confident that I'm right.
But I also think that's irrational.
The rational thing to think is to be 50-50.
But if you ask me about, so that's the question about rationality.
That's why it's called level splitting.
So on the question about like the first order issue, will it rain tomorrow?
Yep, I'm right.
Even though the weather forecaster said no.
But someone asked you, well, what's the rational thing to believe?
Oh, 50-50.
Yes.
And so put that in your pocket for later in this podcast.
That's the level splitting view.
When we come to Boltzmann brains, there's going to be a potential way out related to that.
It's definitely related to that stuff.