Alastair Crooke
speaker
913 appearances
2 recordings
2 series
first heard Apr 2026
last heard 9 Jun
Alastair Crooke’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 2 in all, peaking in Jun 2026 with 1.
Appearances
Well, we're essentially in a new phase of the war, which reflects, we can go back to that, but it reflects the sense in Iran that
no deal is likely to be forthcoming.
And therefore, what they are moving towards is what I call escalatory deterrence, which is that every time there is attack on them, whether it is by the U.S.
Navy or Formos, or if it's by Israel in Lebanon,
They will not only respond, but they will move a step up the escalatory ladder.
They will move up one step.
And so then if there's another tax, then they move up further.
So they've been deploying this.
in Hormuz against the American naval vessels there.
Just a couple of days ago, the U.S.
Navy attacked a vessel belonging to Iran, fired a Hellfire missile into its engine room and incapacitated it.
So that is one part, and then Iran reacted by attacks in Bahrain, the effects of which you've probably seen, and I'm told, in fact, the effects of which were far more damaging than have been explained to us, that there was some special equipment involved.
there in the naval base, which was very expensive and which was destroyed.
And they wonder how Iran knew of its location.
The CENTCOM are assuming, I'm told, that it must have been provided to them by Russia or China, but I doubt it.
I would think that the Iranian intelligence is good in a place like Bahrain, which is 80% Shi'i anyway.
So that's one element of it.
So that's a straightforward equation.
Be attacked and respond far for far, effectively.
Then the more problematic one is Lebanon.
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