Alessio Fanelli

speaker

4,204 appearances 33 recordings 1 series first heard Sep 2025 last heard 20 May

Alessio Fanelli’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 28 in all, peaking in Oct 2025 with 7.

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Because even if you look at the opus 4.5.

That's clearly out of trend.

And so you were saying four months instead of seven months.

But if then the next model is, oh, maybe it sh should not be four months, it should be two months.

Would that make you change your mind about whether or not the months thing even makes sense?

Or like we maybe we pass some base level after which it accelerates and we'll keep going?

I don't know.

I I feel like you must be having

It's a public service.

You also had this research on the slowing AI improvements based on AI compute.

And you mentioned that it's like in a way you could tie the AI time horizon to like the growth in compute.

Can you say more about that?

It's in a way unintuitive because the compute growth is not always tied to like how much every single model compute needs.

It's kinda like a broader market thing.

Yeah.

How did you get the two together and then some of the findings that you had?

Do you think of compute on a per lab basis?

Because there's kind of one one way you can model this out is the improvement slow down.

Not every company is able to stay in business.

And then their compute gets recycled back into the other labs, which then grow compute again.

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