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Alex Turnbull

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
375 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

India does too.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

Australia, South Africa, these are all places with access to open ocean, no quirky straits.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

And so you don't really have to worry too much about whether

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

some geopolitical event takes out coal.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

The most reliable option, of course, is just producing stuff in country, whether that's solar, wind, batteries, nuclear.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

But in a pinch and currently, I think coal is going to have a bit of a comeback for that reason alone.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

It's like asking someone, well, you know,

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

what should I plant?

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

I'm like, well, okay, where are you?

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

So if you're anywhere close to the equator or have a good solar resource, solar is crazy cheap.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

And if you've got to be around, batteries are also pretty cheap.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

That's hard to beat.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

If you're somewhere in the Baltic or something, then it's weird, right?

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

So I think the appeal with solar, which is that you can roll it out very quickly, particularly with households.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

And it's interesting, you're already starting to see the impacts of Australia's government

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

pushing residential batteries.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

And that is that the intraday spreads in power in Australia are very subdued and the gas fired generators are not really pricing the market anywhere near as often as they used to.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

very quick fix and can be rolled out very quickly.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

And it seems to be working very well in Australia.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

The price impact of the shock is vastly less than 2022 already.