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Alex Turnbull

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
375 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

Yeah, I mean, one thing in power marks is a spark spread.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

So what is the cost to get out of bed for a gas-fired power plant?

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

So you take the heat rate times whatever the gas price is, and you work out how many hours a day over a week are effectively priced by gas.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

And what happened in Australia was we had a lot of solar and not much storage.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

And still, the peaks were still very expensive because the gas plants knew they could set the price.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

What's happened with this proliferation of storage is that the gas no longer reliably sets the price in those hours.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

And particularly in Australia, where it's often somewhat oligopolistic market structure, having...

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

on average daily prices.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

The problem in places like the UK is there's a lot of renewables, there's really no storage, so they're not getting much benefit out of this because they still get priced on the margin by gas.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

Market structure design.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

They're fixing this right now, and I'm sure they'll be in a very different place in two years.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

But it was something of an oversight, I would say.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

Well, I mean, like I said earlier, you've already seen it in LNG.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

So Asian

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

buyers outbidding european buyers for now that's obviously pushing up prices for europeans you are seeing more and more tanker traffic from the atlantic basin move towards asia as asia just is happy to there's maybe 10 or 15 more shipping costs but they are willing to bid those barrels at this point they they do not care so the idea that any of these systems are going to be there are friction

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

in time, but if the pull and the need is that acute in Asia, we'll absolutely find its way to the Western Hemisphere.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

I think there's a lot of problems with it, but they're mostly due to overall problems with gas.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

First of all, the gas turbines you use to build a power plant in Asia are the same ones you use to build a data center.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

gas-fired turbines is well noted, I would say.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

Then you have the issue of, say, your customers have been priced out of using gas for that reason alone.