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Andrej Karpathy

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
3419 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Each nine is constant.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Demos are encouraging.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Still a huge amount of work to do.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

I do think it is a kind of a critical safety domain, unless you're doing vibe coding, which is all nice and fun and so on.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

And so that's why I think this also enforced my timelines from that perspective.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Yeah, it's a much harder problem.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

I mean, self-driving is just one of thousands of things that people do.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

It's almost like a single vertical, I suppose.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Whereas when we're talking about general software engineering, it's even more, there's more surface area.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Yeah, basically, I'm not 100% sure if I fully agree with that.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

I don't know how much we're getting for free, and I still think there's a lot of gaps in understanding in what we are getting.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

I mean, we're definitely getting more generalizable intelligence in a single entity, whereas self-driving is a very special-purpose task that requires, in some sense, building a special-purpose task is maybe even harder in a certain sense because it doesn't fall out from a more general thing that you're doing at scale, if that makes sense.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

So...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

But I still think that the analogy doesn't, I still don't know if it fully resonates because like the LLMs are still pretty fallible and I still think that they have a lot of gaps and that it still needs to be filled in.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

And I don't think that we're getting like magical generalization completely out of the box sort of in a certain sense.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

And the other aspect that I want to also actually return to when I was in the beginning was self-driving cars are nowhere near done still.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Mm-hmm.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

So even though, so the deployments still are pretty minimal, right?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

So even Waymo and so on has very few cars, and they're doing that, roughly speaking, because they're not economical, right?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Because they've built something that lives in the future.