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Andrej Karpathy

πŸ‘€ Speaker
3433 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And then you need a second nine, a third nine, fourth nine, fifth nine.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And while I was at Tesla for, was it five years or so, I think we went through maybe three nines, two nines, I don't know what it is.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

But like multiple nines of iteration, there's still more nines to go.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And so that's why these things take so long.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And so it's definitely formative for me, like seeing something that was a demo.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

I'm very unimpressed by demos.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

So whenever I see demos of anything, I'm extremely unimpressed by that.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

It works better if you can, if it's a demo that someone cooked up and is just showing you its worst.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

If you can interact with it, it's a bit better.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

But even then, you're not done.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

You need actual product.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

It's going to face all these challenges when it comes in contact with reality and all these different pockets of behavior that need patching.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And so I think we're going to see all that stuff play out.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

It's a march of nines.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Each nine is constant.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Demos are encouraging.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Still a huge amount of work to do.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

I do think it is a kind of a critical safety domain, unless you're doing vibe coding, which is all nice and fun and so on.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And so that's why I think this also enforced my timelines from that perspective.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Yeah, it's a much harder problem.