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Andrej Karpathy

πŸ‘€ Speaker
3433 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

I mean, self-driving is just one of thousands of things that people do.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

It's almost like a single vertical, I suppose.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Whereas when we're talking about general software engineering, it's even more, there's more surface area.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Yeah, basically, I'm not 100% sure if I fully agree with that.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

I don't know how much we're getting for free, and I still think there's a lot of gaps in understanding in what we are getting.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

I mean, we're definitely getting more generalizable intelligence in a single entity, whereas self-driving is a very special-purpose task that requires, in some sense, building a special-purpose task is maybe even harder in a certain sense because it doesn't fall out from a more general thing that you're doing at scale, if that makes sense.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

So...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

But I still think that the analogy doesn't, I still don't know if it fully resonates because like the LLMs are still pretty fallible and I still think that they have a lot of gaps and that it still needs to be filled in.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And I don't think that we're getting like magical generalization completely out of the box sort of in a certain sense.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And the other aspect that I want to also actually return to when I was in the beginning was self-driving cars are nowhere near done still.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Mm-hmm.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

So even though, so the deployments still are pretty minimal, right?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

So even Waymo and so on has very few cars, and they're doing that, roughly speaking, because they're not economical, right?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Because they've built something that lives in the future.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And so they had to, like, pull back future, but they had to make it uneconomical.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

So they have all these, like, you know, there's all these costs, not just marginal costs for those cars and their operation and maintenance, but also the capex of the entire thing.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

So making it economical is still going to be a slog, I think, for them.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And then also I think when you look at these cars and there's no one driving, I also think it's a little bit deceiving because there are actually very elaborate teleoperation centers of people actually kind of like in a loop with these cars.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And I don't have the full extent of it, but I think...