Ann Selzer

speaker
18 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Nov 2024 last heard Nov 2024

Ann Selzer’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Imagine this was a shock poll and I've been shocked since Tuesday morning last week.
So I've had the time for this to sink in because no one, not including me, would have thought that Iowa could go for Kamala Harris.
So what we saw there was striking sort of.
elaboration of what had happened with our September poll, where we had Kamala Harris closing by 14 points the gap with Donald Trump.
And our analysis then was it wasn't that people are switching their allegiances.
It was that more people were qualifying as likely voters in September.
That would have been, they say, they will definitely vote.
And that somebody asked me, well, is Trump losing ground?
And that's an interesting question.
And you get out your calculator and start to work that out.
He actually there were more respondents, weighted respondents for Trump by three, three individuals than he had in June.
but Kamala Harris got 85.
And that's because the influx, the bigger number of likely voters, extremely went to Kamala Harris.
And this poll is an extension of that, that the people more likely to show up
are her kinds of of supporters so she's got more women she's got more older people she's got more college educated people and it is ended up you look at the graph of it it looks pretty linear that her going from biden's low point in june up to now she has leapfrogged over trump into the lead
So there's lots of lots of things going on, lots of things to speculate there.
But obviously, we we looked hard at these numbers to feel confident in publishing.
And we do.
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