Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
So the slowing down seems to be working, but the economy's still got its issues, I think.
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
Yeah, James, while we end the week debating the outlook for the official cash interest rates, we spent much of it thinking about where rates are going in financial markets.
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
So bond yields, and they're the interest rates that governments offer to entice investors to lend them money so they can spend it on hospitals or schools, roads, statues of former Victorian Premier, your hero, Dan Andrews, James.
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
Yes.
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
I mean, these bond yields have been rising sharply right around the world, sparking fears that a red-hot share market could be set for a fall.
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
James, we talk about the share market a lot, but the bond market is actually a lot bigger and it's traditionally been seen as more important.
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
Can you tell us a bit about how the bond market works, why it's important and why everyone is so worried about those rising bond yields now?
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
100%.
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
That US 10-year rate that you talk about, I mean, that's the number one thing that fund managers would look at in Australia when they wake up every morning.
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
It is the number that sort of sets the tone for the whole market.
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
It's at 4.57% today.
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
Above 5% is very hard for equities.
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
That 4.57 has been rising recently.
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
But yeah, just generally, bond investors worry about inflation.
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
Equities investors look for growth.
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
Sometimes they're on the same page.
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
Sometimes they're not.
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
So we just kind of look at when that sort of flips.
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
between those two when they converge and when they get apart.
Chanticleer
Elon Musk's SpaceX float is $3 trillion of hype, House prices correction coming & your budget questions answered
And at the moment, the bond investors are saying, hang on, let's worry about inflation.