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Anthony Macdonald

πŸ‘€ Speaker
1215 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

The market's still pretty rich.

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

16, 17 times, still a premium.

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

Yeah.

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

Now CSL, which has also come unstuck recently, mate, it was trading up in the 30 times earnings and it's now back at 13 times.

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

So you can get the downgrade and the risk here is that they do get further downgrade.

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

So it's a real ugly one.

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

So Cochlear, essentially, it's a hearing device, but it's just like any other widget maker.

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

In its case, it's got very expensive widgets and sells them.

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

But the more you make, the more you sell, the quicker you sell them for, the higher the price, the more money investors make at the end of the day.

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

Cochlear carries a lot of inventory, like about 500 million bucks worth at June 30 last year.

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

Right.

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

It was a third of that 10 years ago.

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

So it's built up a lot, and it's particularly built up a lot since COVID, and the sales growth just hasn't matched it.

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

Now, the reasons it built so much recently, it's had a new product launch, so it's sort of stocking that in its own factories before it goes to market with them.

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

And then it was also trying to increase its supply chain resilience by storing more of some of the parts that it's a little bit worried that if the world –

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

goes bad it won't be able to get yeah but the more you store the higher your risk of obsolescence there's the risk you're carrying things that you're not going to be able to sell and there's an actual cost to that as well it sucks up your working capital in the business yes so you're paying for a lot of stuff up front they're not going to be selling for quite a while that's an expensive way to do things for shareholders it's much better if you run gyg and you're making burritos then and then getting the cash in the door then and there you're not having to carry the inventory as much on the way through

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

In terms of Craig's question on average day's inventory, I mean, that measures how long you're holding stock before you sell it.

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

And yeah, it's blown out, which is very costly for business.

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

Average day's inventory at Cochlear was approximately 320 days, FY25.

Chanticleer
Inside the circus around our biggest IPO in years, two ASX stars implode and the number to end the Iran war

Yeah, it was 233 days a decade ago, 285 days five years ago.