Anton Korinek

speaker

180 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Feb 2026 last heard 27 Feb

Anton Korinek’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Feb 2026 with 1.

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Hard Fork · Is A.I. Eating the Labor Market? + The Latest on the Pentagon, OpenClaw and Alpha School · 27 Feb 2026 podcast

Yeah, you know, it's a funny moment because I have been studying this for a decade now and I have been kind of waiting and waiting to when markets are going to wake up to what's about to hit us.

And then it's kind of seemingly small, almost random little things that actually produce big market reactions.

So, yeah, you know, markets move according to emotions.

And I guess this is one of those instances.

But in the background, there are also some very real developments.

And I guess we're here to discuss those today.

It's still in the realm of expectations.

So if you look at the actual data, you can see some relatively small impacts of AI on things like the job market, things like productivity growth.

But they're still, first of all, in the territory where they're very small, like fractions of a percent, and secondly, still contested.

So at this point,

There are like a couple of economic research papers that say, yes, we can see something in the job market for entry level jobs.

But there are also people who still say, well, there's this and that that's wrong in this paper.

And we could actually interpret these results in a different light.

So in short, there is no really hard economic data yet.

I'm actually afraid that even by the time when all of us are going to see, yes, this is clearly visible now.

the economic research is still going to be slightly contentious.

I think it's a little bit of both.

So our economic statistics, they are designed in part to be very, very comprehensive and it takes time to compile them.

They get revised because the first take is not necessarily the final one.

So if you look at things like productivity, that's where the time lags really hit you.

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