Ari Levy
speaker
238 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Feb 2026
last heard 12 Feb
Ari Levy’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Feb 2026 with 1.
Appearances
13 cards in each suit and all the rules that we all know.
And so it's much more of a fixed probability in the stock market.
They call it, you know, stock is more of a random walk.
So it's a whole different distribution.
There's no history doesn't repeat itself exactly.
But like the Mark Twain quote, history doesn't repeat itself, but it rhymes.
There's, you know, a lot of historical analysis to help figure out what the future might hold to make educated decisions.
risk-adjusted.
There's some principles from the things I learned in card counting, specifically something called the Kelly criterion, which is like a theoretical proof for a known set of odds.
Again, with cards having a known set of odds, it tells you how much to risk on any given wager such that you're maximizing your profit while also not putting your balance sheet at a big, it's called risk of ruin.
That is a really good point and something that we all think about if you're a smart investor.
You can't
believe that it's going to, like what I said, with certainty, there's still, you know, events, idiosyncratic things that could happen.
One that I can think of, for example, and this is more of a micro level versus like long-term capitals models, multiple second order events happened.
I believe that
with plus some leverage.
Leverage is always an important factor.
But for example, in the volatility space, VXX is the largest ETF.
It owns a combination of front and second month futures on volatility.
Almost in the entirety of its history, you could create and redeem it, which as I was saying before, keeps the ETFs in line.
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