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Azeem Azhar

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
5487 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

My friend asked me this very pointed and helpful question.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

At this price...

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

Would you be a buyer or seller of OpenAI?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

Now, investors have lots of choices when they decide where they should put their money.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

That's based on one level, risk and return.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

It's based on their worldview.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

It's based on building a diversified portfolio that rides out the bad times and wins in the good.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

So when my buddy asked me this question about OpenAI, yes, it's about whether I reckon OpenAI's value will go up or down in the coming years, but it's also about the other choices one might have with this sort of notional investment in the firm.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

Would you be better off putting your money elsewhere?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

Now, given OpenAI is a technology stock, that somewhere else

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

Easiest be the NASDAQ index.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

It's the stock index that aggregates most of the big tech players.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

And so in my interpretation, the real question is, do I think that OpenAI is going to outperform the NASDAQ over the coming years?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

Now, what I should remind you is that nothing I'm saying is financial advice, not a red sentiment.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

So it's a fun experiment.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

I've been thinking about it.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

So let's start with some context, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

There is a benchmark here, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

Over the last decade, the NASDAQ index has returned roughly 13% per year.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

It's pretty generous.