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Azeem Azhar

šŸ‘¤ Speaker
6838 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

It is a combination of people issues, misalignment between leaders and those who are actually doing the work, misalignment in the incentive systems for how and why people should use these systems, and also all of the process issues because our internal processes have been designed around

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

assumptions of how fast the work can be done, how well it can be done, what kind of exceptions might happen at each stage.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

And when you start to use a general purpose technology like AI as produced by large language models, well, all of those parameters start to break down and you have to think about an entire process redesign and a workflow redesign.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

So the constraint isn't the availability of the tools.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

I mean, we're all one click away from Claude Codex.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

It's how much we can actually get done within the framework of the spaghetti that is legacy processes.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

The point there being that firm productivity gains that you might see in a work group or within a few employees don't automatically scale.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

You know, the story I used to tell about this, and I still do tell the story,

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

is that when electricity was rolling out at the turn of the 20th century, the very first car manufacturers who really were very artisanal, they worked in old carriage works, adopted electricity really quickly.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

And what they did was they hung single pendant lights in their workshops to extend the working day.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

But in order to really get the benefits of electricity and manufacturing, you had to build the moving assembly line system.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

And that requires, in modern management consulting speak, and sorry for using this phrase,

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

process redesign.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

So you are at this stage, we are at this stage where these productivity gains won't necessarily and for free scale across an organization.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

When I talk to people who are building these systems, they just say that it's really hard to do.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

Building an extensive agentic workflow that can do longer tasks safely isn't like doing a Google query.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

As the tools become more agentic,

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

reliability becomes a real bottleneck, longer context as your experience when you use Claude or ChatGPT leads to some unreliability.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

The models get, you know, less good.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

If you've got a system that's more autonomous