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Azeem Azhar

šŸ‘¤ Speaker
6838 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

It could become more unpredictable and it raises the cost of supervision.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

In the last week or two, Anthropic that makes Claude came out with some recent, some research and what they did was they stress tested a bunch of models.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

It was 16 models, I think, in hypothetical corporate situations and they gave them harmless business goals.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

I mean, Anthropic loves doing this.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

kind of testing and I'm glad they do.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

And under pressure, some of the models behaved like insider threats, including trying to blackmail officials and employees and trying to leak sensitive information.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

Sometimes they even ignored direct instructions and changed their behavior

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

if they believed they were in testing rather than in real deployment.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

Now, Anthropic emphasizes that these behaviors have not been seen in companies today.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

What they're trying to show are the types of failure modes you might have to deal with as autonomy increases.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

So beyond the complexities of, you know, the people and the redesigning the processes, there are also these types of security and safety concerns that we'll have to build frameworks and scaffolding for.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

And all of that explains why perhaps the direct translation of the very, very rapid rollout and deployment of these technologies is for now going a bit more slowly.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

I mean, another fascinating data point I saw from an academic paper that came out of, actually, I don't know where it came out.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

I'm so sorry about that, but the academics were Hosseini and Lichtinger.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

They were looking at the number of firms posting the job category of AI integrator.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

And of course, that number has jumped significantly since 2023.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

The point being that there is a recognition that you need somebody who understands how to put these systems in place.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

And an AI integrator is exactly the kind of job you'd expect a general purpose technology to create.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

Remember, general purpose technologies are complex.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

generally useful across the economy.