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Azeem Azhar

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
5487 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

And the open source challenge, the open weight challenge that we normally associate with Chinese AI companies is a really important one.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

Because at some point, you may get to a stage that for many workloads, you don't need the biggest, heaviest, state-of-the-art model.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

What you need is a lightweight model that is fast, that is cheap, and does what you need in that context.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

You'll also start to see more and more inference happening on the edge, that is on devices that we hold in our hands, in factories, in cars.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

These are places where open AI could play, but they're not places where

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

OpenAI currently does play, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

It doesn't really, we don't think of it as a provider of edge-based models.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

And then I think something that certainly will happen, and of course they can lean into this, is that specialist vertical models, particularly in enterprises, will persist because they can be much smaller and faster and cheaper than big models, but do exactly what that customer wants.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

enterprise customer needs them to do, whether it is do OCR on insurance claims forms or look at security breaches across a network.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

These models will be highly, highly tuned.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

And of course, we shouldn't forget that there's an enormous amount of capex that is required and will continue to be required over the coming years, which is going to potentially be a constraint, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

If the debt providers and credit providers are not willing to back this build-out,

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

which they are so far, and I think will do for another 18 months or so, that could end up being a constraint.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

And the next constraint will be energy, whether the American energy system in particular will be able to cope with ongoing demands.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

I mean, it already seems like most

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

Demand growth for the next few years will get soaked up by AI data centers.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

I mean, on this front, of course, OpenAI has built relationships in the Middle East and up in Norway and elsewhere so that it can start to serve customers in those geographies.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

A quick note.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

If you want to support us in bringing more of these conversations to the world, please consider subscribing to the show.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

But perhaps one of the big unknowns is what might happen with alternative architectures.