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Azeem Azhar

👤 Speaker
6838 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

I mean, in the case of the dot-com, we were...

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

an order of magnitude practically away from that in terms of the capital that had gone in and the revenues that were being generated.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

And the question is really how long can you sustain yourself at that point?

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

The thing to note here is that

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

We had no-gen AI revenues three years ago, and our estimates and the calculations that we've done are quite conservative.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

We've come in at about $60 billion for 2025.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

One of the big investment banks has suggested it's closer to $153 billion for 2025.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

In truth, it's probably somewhere in between there.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

So we're quite conservative.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

And I would add to that, Derek, that that $60 billion is just a rough measure to cover the capital expenditure.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

It doesn't involve margin.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

It doesn't involve profit.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

It doesn't involve a whole set of other things that you might need in order to justify this long term.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

But when you look at the build-out of...

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

technologies during this phase, they are generally behind on the revenue curve.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

It's not like building a hotel, which you expect to have 80% occupancy the day you finally open it.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

So that's the kind of historical nature of all of this, that it's a technology, it's got to catch up.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

16% coverage for now is okay.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

If we were still there in a couple of years, I'd be a bit nervous, to be honest.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

It's worrying for now, but I will explain the way that I think about this, which is that, you know, imagine you're taking off from the runway in a plane I have to fly on on Sunday.