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Azeem Azhar

šŸ‘¤ Speaker
5487 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

And that requires, in modern management consulting speak, and sorry for using this phrase,

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

process redesign.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

So you are at this stage, we are at this stage where these productivity gains won't necessarily and for free scale across an organization.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

When I talk to people who are building these systems, they just say that it's really hard to do.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

Building an extensive agentic workflow that can do longer tasks safely isn't like doing a Google query.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

As the tools become more agentic,

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

reliability becomes a real bottleneck, longer context as your experience when you use Claude or ChatGPT leads to some unreliability.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

The models get, you know, less good.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

If you've got a system that's more autonomous

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

It could become more unpredictable and it raises the cost of supervision.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

In the last week or two, Anthropic that makes Claude came out with some recent, some research and what they did was they stress tested a bunch of models.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

It was 16 models, I think, in hypothetical corporate situations and they gave them harmless business goals.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

I mean, Anthropic loves doing this.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

kind of testing and I'm glad they do.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

And under pressure, some of the models behaved like insider threats, including trying to blackmail officials and employees and trying to leak sensitive information.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

Sometimes they even ignored direct instructions and changed their behavior

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

if they believed they were in testing rather than in real deployment.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

Now, Anthropic emphasizes that these behaviors have not been seen in companies today.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

What they're trying to show are the types of failure modes you might have to deal with as autonomy increases.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

So beyond the complexities of, you know, the people and the redesigning the processes, there are also these types of security and safety concerns that we'll have to build frameworks and scaffolding for.