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Azeem Azhar

👤 Speaker
5487 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

So, you know, what they're saying is that you can see in the productivity numbers economy-wide, that thing that I said at the beginning of my discussion, we're not seeing, you can see some measure of labor productivity going up and it's consistent with the survey results they're getting through their tracker survey.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

They also looked at industry level adoption and there is a weak positive correlation.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

So it's a correlation of 0.32.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

So that's not up in the 0.8, 0.9, but it's definitely negative and it's beyond being completely random.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

Now we should be skeptical.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

Self-reported survey, so many confounding factors, but it is at least plausible.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

So when we conclude, when I think about this, it is a complicated picture, but the evidence illuminating that picture is growing.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

It's not enough to satisfy anyone, I expect.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

For those of you who believe that this AI boom is one gigantic hallucination and a titanic waste of time and will end indeed the way the Titanic did with a calamity,

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

You're going to demand impeccably robust evidence, understandably evidence that probably won't emerge before 2027 or 2028.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

And for those of you who think we're on the verge of summoning the machine god that will take us to transcendence, we'll really want to hit the accelerator pedal even further.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

54% adoption won't be good enough.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

The way I look at this is that we're seeing growing momentum with more and more positive results emerging, even if it remains early days.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

That we are seeing stories of companies succeeding in applications and workflows that they couldn't have just a year ago or six months ago.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

And of course, once those success stories emerge, that knowledge will spread as it always has.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why the AI productivity gains haven’t arrived - yet

So not ever, just not yet.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Where did all the entry-level jobs go? (With Revelio CEO Ben Zweig)

today I want to talk about jobs.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Where did all the entry-level jobs go? (With Revelio CEO Ben Zweig)

There are lots of worrying headlines about the job markets.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Where did all the entry-level jobs go? (With Revelio CEO Ben Zweig)

We've heard about big layoffs at firms like Amazon and other companies going into hiring freezes like Walmart.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Where did all the entry-level jobs go? (With Revelio CEO Ben Zweig)

We've heard that entry-level jobs are