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Azeem Azhar

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
6838 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

Yeah, I mean, it's interesting that we head into this with such a strong American economy.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

I'm sitting here in North London, and there's a particularly depressing series of charts which show OECD growth rate.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

These are the club of rich countries, and you have the US as part of it.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

And the US is just motoring away, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

It's the biggest economy there.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

It's growing much faster, far faster than the UK, where essentially the economy is roughly the same, has been the same size for a decade or more.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

And Europe, at some cases, up until about a week ago,

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

It almost, the mood felt funereal, but I think that there has been a change in the last few days.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

The bit that I query, wonder about is this issue of the tech stock valuations.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

I mean, we're definitely at a point where this magnificent seven, I love the way how the investment bank has always come up with these wonderful terms.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

So the mag sevens are huge.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

highly concentrated.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

In fact, this is the highest level of stock market concentration since before the Great Depression.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

And of course, stock analysts love to look at things like this because history rhymes in a sense.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

But it does feel that there is something that is different this time around.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

I mean, for one thing,

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

there is revenue momentum in a lot of these companies compared to the dot-com bubble where companies had valuations without revenue.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

The second is the world economy is much richer and much more complex than it was in 99 or in 1929.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

And so when I look at that, I wonder, of course, animal spirits can upset stock market valuations as they did on Monday with Deep Seek.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

And if