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Azeem Azhar

đŸ‘€ Speaker
5487 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

Let's give the received wisdom right now.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

So the received wisdom is that the US leads in the frontier, that the US foundation model labs are brilliant.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

by and large chasing after the machine god that is AGI or ASI, and that the US is highly constrained by some of its physical infrastructure, so the power systems and so on.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

And on the other hand, China is doing really well with open source models.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

It has abundant power capacity, and the open source models are getting better and better.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

But critically, the Chinese state-civil enterprise fusion is all about

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

deployment and that these are two entirely different approaches to AI.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

I think that's the received wisdom.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

Is that right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

Is that wrong?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

But, you know, what started to change, I think, was in the mid-2010s when the strategic importance and national importance of data

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

particularly data about citizens, started to emerge amongst policymakers.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

And you get to the stage that by 2020, more than 100 countries have got their own data privacy frameworks.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

We always think about GDPR, but Kenya had one and Brazil had one.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

They were expressing some desire of classic Westphalian sovereignty in this new domain against the backdrop of essentially having been happy for the Americans to do the running for 30 years.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

Yeah.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

I just returned from Abu Dhabi this morning, and of course, the UAE has gone all in on AI as a technology for the nation, as a technology for its industry and economy.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

It's building huge data centers.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

But critically, to your point about new model providers, they have released in the last two or three weeks a really performant open source reasoning model that is extremely light, measured by billions of parameters.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

And, you know, it is interesting to see that, to your point, nothing's yet locked down.