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Azeem Azhar

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
6838 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

And I think that that has become quite a surprise.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

I think Goldman Sachs did some work last year, and they were showing that

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

the pinpoint where jobs really started to be impacted by effective LLNs was about $100,000 a year salary, which is well above the average.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

So we end up in this quite interesting world.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

And I agree with you that we may feel that there are certain jobs that are very high pollutant and creative, and the machines won't be able to at least support or augment them.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

But with every

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

release of an AI system, those systems get better and better.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

And I think that that does create a real pressure and attention.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

I mean, later today, OpenAI will release their next model, which is called O03.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

And I think quite a lot about what

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

Policy responses to this ought to be given that there is so much uncertainty and given that it's really expensive to run a safety net, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

We know that in Europe, our tax levels are much higher.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

We have a much deeper safety net.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

And that, to me, feels like a kind of politically quite a difficult problem to close down, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

Nobody really wants higher taxes, whether it's here or in Europe or in the US.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

And certainly the politics in the US for the next three or four years won't support it.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

So that, I think, is going to be a really key point of tension, which is what happens if we do start to see really mass job displacements?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

No, I think we're also going to see that.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

There is, in my other hat, which is to invest in startups, in particular deep technology and AI startups, there is a mood towards a belief that you could build the billion dollar single person company, like the one man unicorn, as they call it.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

And the idea is that there's a whole array of