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Azeem Azhar

đŸ‘€ Speaker
5487 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

There are certain things that feel rather more locked down.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

So Nvidia's chips and TSMC's fabrication and ASML's lasers.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

But above that layer, there is still quite a lot to play for and quite a lot of space then for countries to think about what does sovereignty mean in this environment.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

We'll have to see.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

But, you know, we don't know.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

I mean, I think this goes back to the question I asked you about AI that you so neatly dodged, which is that we don't know how the industry structure will play out.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

We're full of surprises.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

The internet provided a ton of surprises.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

Remember, it was always going to be about decentralization and it ended up being incredibly centralized.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

It was going to be about the Arab Spring and people speaking with one voice and it ended up being anything but that.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

So...

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

One of the things that I've got some experience and some scar tissue from is trying to understand exactly the path that a technology takes from here to there.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

And as I said, China seems to have a different approach to AI, which seems to focus on deployment rather than really, really breaking the frontier.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

I mean, is that a fair way of characterizing it?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

I'm not sure.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

Well, I mean, there is that necessity because ultimately they don't have the chips and Huawei is starting to produce chips that can be suitable for training high-end LLMs, but they are way, way behind where NVIDIA sits right now.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

But there is also this question about what actually drives

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

the economic success of a technology like this.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

So I'm sure you know Jeff Ding well.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

Jeff had his book recently and he made the case that it's less about breakthrough innovation and more about broad diffusion and deployment.