Benedict Evans
speaker
941 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard May 2025
last heard May 2025
Benedict Evans’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Appearances
And that doesn't seem to be going away at any conceptual level.
And you you can't just kind of pretend that's not there by saying, Well, it's getting better all the time because I mean this is as I said, what do you mean better?
Do you mean better as in it was wrong ninety four percent of the time and now it's wrong ninety four point two percent of the time?
Or do you mean better as in it was wrong and now it's right?
And an awful lot of this is like, but look at the curve on the chart.
It's going up, yes, but going up towards what?
Are you telling me this is going up to the point that I'm going to be able to use deep research and the numbers will all be right and I'll know that they're all right.
Or at least I don't think we know that we're on a path to that.
Yeah, yeah.
I think we'll you know we'll get to a point that people have a a much more intuitive understanding of what it is, what is good for, what is not good for and of course that keeps changing over time.
So, you know, w the you know, there's this sort of you know, the sort of slide I used.
quite often, which is to say, like, all AI questions have one of two answers.
The answer is either it will be exactly like every other platform shift or no one knows.
And there's a broad class here where we really don't know how much better this is going to get or how it's going to evolve.
We kind of have to remember that none of this really worked two and a half years ago.
Um, I mean, my my old colleague from from A6C and C Steve Sonosk Steven Sonofsky always likes to talk about spell checking and word processors.
Because he was kind of going through college, I guess, in the eighties, when there was this whole debate about um
you know, whether it was okay, like whether typing, writing your your your essay on a word processor where you could like copy, paste and move stuff around would like damage your ability to do critical thinking 'cause you weren't writing your essay in the same way.
Spell checking was another whole thing.
And it's also kind of funny to think about, you know, the error rate as like spell check two point oh because you remember there were always the things of like, you know, someone would select their whole document and do spell check and then just accept the answers.
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