Benjamin Radd
speaker
1,820 appearances
2 recordings
1 series
first heard Jul 2025
last heard 4 Mar
Benjamin Radd’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Mar 2026 with 1.
Appearances
I don't believe that.
I do think that when they plan for blowback, they account for that and they try to make the best opportunity out of the blowback that they already expect.
And that does make sense.
But at the end of the day, Iran has to do something to react.
And it knows that it can't just send all of its rockets at the fleet that's off the coast of Oman because the fleet that's off the coast of Oman is going to be able to intercept most of those rockets.
So if they want some kind of effective response, the most effective response they can have is to share the pain and create some sort of international resistance against what the United States has done.
How long do you think this goes on for, Andrew, if you had to guess?
If I had to guess, I would say that there's going to be an active hot conflict with Iran that lasts –
A few weeks, hot conflict, meaning every day we wake up and we see new rockets being launched and new attacks, new air sorties being launched.
But the actual reverberations of this from Hezbollah, from Hamas, from the Houthis, from whatever loyal stanchions still exist in Iran, we could see that for years.
There's no guarantee that Iran's going to bounce back from this in a better place.
I hope it will, but hope is not the same thing as reality.
Hope is just hope.
I hope that it will.
But in the vacuum, we could see the biggest adversaries to the United States flood in and support Iran, like the biggest adversaries in the world flooded in and support Afghanistan.
We might see that we have even less influence over the region in the future than we do now.
It emboldens every authoritarian ruler out there because now it's validating to them that they're not actually doing anything wrong.
If the president of the United States can do it, then certainly Putin can do it and Xi Jinping can do it and any warlord in Africa can do it.
Certainly it's allowed.
Or on the flip side, it's showing that if you act outside of international norms, that the United States president will not hesitate to decapitate your entire leadership, which is something maybe we didn't think was conceivable a couple weeks ago.
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