Bill Kristol

A couple of detailed things.

I got too much in the weeds on this.

People tried to see what was really happening.

It doesn't seem to have been particularly a differential turnout.

It wasn't that Republicans were bored and were busy watching college basketball or something, and the Democrats all knew they were supposed to get out.

The electorate seems to have been Republican-ish, as you would expect in that district.

But a lot of some Republicans had a lot of independents voted Democratic.

And there was a good Democratic candidate, a young guy, a veteran, kind of ran a centrist campaign.

He was outspent by a lot.

So it does seem to have been de facto a referendum on Trump, Trumpism and the Republican Party.

And certainly the Texas Republican Party is a very Trumpy Republican Party.

So I think it's pretty meaningful.

And again, it's meaningful because it fits into a pattern now, special elections and of the Virginia and New Jersey elections.

The only thing I would say is that it is suburban Fort Worth, mostly suburban, some ex-urban.

It's not that different from the suburbs of Wichita or of Des Moines.

I mean, it's Texas a little further south, but maybe a little more Republican, but anything close to this degree of movement.

going, you put a lot of Senate seats in play.

Winning the Senate as well as the House would be so much bigger than just winning the House.

I mean, just as a practical matter, what you could do with control of both bodies in 2027 and 2028.

I'm not sure either.