Bill Maris

speaker
608 appearances 2 recordings 2 series first heard Jun 2026 last heard 9 Jun

Bill Maris’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months
2 · Jun OctJan 26AprJulnow

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 2 in all, peaking in Jun 2026 with 2.

Appearances

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Let's stick to machine learning.
By the way, when you say AI, it freaks people out.
So stop freaking people out.
So we had to call it machine learning.
And we used machine learning to do two things, design
the ideal portfolio construction by running millions and millions of simulations and backtesting and all of the things you can imagine that data scientists would do, and to determine what the ideal fund size would be.
And people were excited.
Here's a headline from TechCrunch at the time.
And people inside of Google were also pretty excited.
This is one of the senior execs I later learned had this to say.
And I have to admit, it seemed crazy.
The plan seemed crazy at the time.
But let's look at how it turned out.
So over this time period, 2009 to 2018, top quartile VC returns looked like this, and top decile looked like this.
Using publicly available information, I'm not sharing any non-public proprietary Google information, we would estimate Google Ventures returns at about 4.1x.
adhered more closely to the strategy and the investments that I led and the investments that I led turned out like this, which takes me to lesson three, which is don't bet against computer science.
I've seen it happen many, many times in many, many fields.
If you apply the right kind of computer science at the right time to the right problem, you will get to the right answers.
I would not bet against it.
Even if it looks like you're tarring the roof in a thunderstorm.
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