Bill Stone
speaker
138 appearances
3 recordings
1 series
first heard Dec 2017
last heard Nov 2018
Bill Stone’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Appearances
the Fed funds rate is going to be really moved up on average.
So the median number, which is the number we always talk about, stayed the same at three hikes.
But we're only a hair away from four.
And that's what the market is going to definitely wrestle with over time.
I think it was happy at the moment that it only got three hikes on the median.
But I'd say you have to watch that closely because we're, you know, like I said, just a hair away from four.
Yes.
And I mean, it obviously depends on how the economy plays out.
whether the rate hikes or I guess fear of rate hikes shows up in terms of pressuring stocks really is based on whether the economy or whether the market thinks the economy can handle it.
So if the economy is running very strong, probably wouldn't have a problem with a fourth rate hike being figured in.
If you see some sort of weakening, we've seen the economy come off the fourth quarter, you know, really strong GDP numbers.
If you see it come back up,
Probably wouldn't have a problem with four, but it does depend on what the expectations for economic growth are.
Thanks for having me.
Yeah, well, you give the hard question, which is, you know, when are we going to get the pullback, essentially?
And I think our thought is you don't get a very...
large pullback if things continue on in this pace.
Because as you note, it's hard to get too negative, I think, when it doesn't look like the Fed wants to move away from that measured pace.
And I would say
today's releases, and I'm saying releases as a whole because I'll combine the statement with the projections, really kind of go to that point.
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