Blaise Agüera y Arcas
speaker
213 appearances
2 recordings
1 series
first heard Jul 2026
last heard 31 Jul
Blaise Agüera y Arcas’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 2 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 2.
Appearances
I fully expect that by the year 2100, the great majority of energy used in the solar system will be going toward AI and will be both harvested and consumed off Earth.
My number is 90%.
That doesn't sound like a moonshot.
No.
In that sense, it's different from a moonshot.
And the reason is that when we started to work on the Apollo project,
We really did not know if it was possible.
It was unknown whether it would work, but also it was unknown whether there was really a compelling reason to go to space.
And indeed, it turned out that there wasn't at the time.
The reason to do it was to show off and to look big alongside the Soviets after the Sputnik moment.
For really doing space at scale, the motivation was just not really there.
Whereas here, I think we're in a different situation for two reasons.
One of them is that the physics and the engineering are already proven.
Like, we know how to do this, and it really is just a matter of whether there is a point in doing it.
And we also know that there is a point.
The physics of energy and the demand curves of AI are things that I think we've already understood.
So when I think about what the 10% looks like where this doesn't happen, it is either my expectations about AI demand are completely violated, which would really surprise me, or we have some much larger scale setback and civilization really slows down for a while.
I mean, those are the scenarios in which I think this will not happen.
I am an optimist, but there's no question that things like nuclear proliferation is getting more serious now.
There are real risks, right?
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