Blaise Agüera y Arcas
speaker
213 appearances
2 recordings
1 series
first heard Jul 2026
last heard 31 Jul
Blaise Agüera y Arcas’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 2 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 2.
Appearances
And so if you think about that exponential growth over the course of the next 10, 20 years, then you really start to get worried.
My trajectory emotionally about all of this is that I started off really concerned about it.
And then I kind of reassured myself that we were working on a lot of things that I believe are going to be able to gain us at least a factor of a thousand in efficiency.
And that reassured me that it's going to be fine.
We're going to solve this problem through increased efficiency.
That's right.
Then something happened.
Right.
So that was the first and second parts of my emotional journey.
But then there was a part three, which is that a factor of a thousand in efficiency is in an exponential landscape that only buys you
Maybe a decade.
And that sounds crazy to say that a factor of a thousand only buys you a decade.
But I mean, if you just look at Moore's law, you can see how many factors of a thousand we've gotten in amount of computing since the 1940s.
And it really is only a decade.
And I see no reason to believe that the demand for AI is somehow going to saturate in the next 10 years and will be done.
So that's what really got me thinking about the supply side of energy, not just how much energy AI is using, but how we could think about obtaining more energy for AI.
I don't think any of these things should not be pursued.
We should be pursuing all of them.
But the trouble, of course, with solar power on Earth is that the sun is only up half the day.
And also they have to be oriented toward the sun.
Showing 141–160 of 213 · page 8 of 11
← Previous
Next →