Bob Pozen

speaker

286 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Jul 2026 last heard 30 Jul

Bob Pozen’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.

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But there is this phenomena called reversion to the mean.

And that is after we have these big negative years in stocks, they bounce back.

Now, if we look at what are the three worst years in stocks over the last 60 years, one is 2008, where stocks were down negative 36%.

What happened in the next

Two years, well, they were up 44%.

What happened in the next five years?

They were up 126%.

And it's the same thing for 2002 and 1974.

2002, the second most negative year, almost 22%.

Stocks were up in the next two years, 42%.

And the next five years, 81%.

And just to close it out,

In 1974, stocks were down 26%.

They rose over the next two years almost 70%.

And over the next five years, they were up 100%.

So we have this repeated pattern, reversion to the mean.

So that's the key.

If you can sit still during those down years in stocks, then you could reap the benefits

of the reversion to mean.

And over the long run, you'll do much better.

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