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Brad Gerstner

πŸ‘€ Speaker
2921 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

But of the 25 sell-side analysts on Wall Street who cover your stock, if I look at the consensus estimate, it basically has your growth flatlining starting in 2027.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

8% growth 2027 through 2030.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

Okay?

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

That is the 25 people in their only job, they get paid to forecast the growth rate for NVIDIA.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

So clearlyβ€” We're comfortable with that, by the way.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

Right, no, I understand that.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

But there is this interesting disconnect, right?

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

I hear it every day on CNBC and Bloomberg.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

And I think it goes to, you know, some of these questions around, you know, shortages leading to a glut that they don't believe.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

They say, okay, we'll give you credit for 26, but 27, you know, maybe we'll have too much and you're not going to need that.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

But it is interesting to me.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

And I think it's important to point out

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

that your consensus forecast is that this won't happen, right?

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

And we also put together a forecast for the company, taking into account all of these numbers.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

And what it shows me is still, even though we're two and a half years into the age of AI, a massive divergence of belief.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

between what we hear Sam Altman saying, you saying, Sundar saying, Satya saying, and what Wall Street still believes.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

And, you know, again, you're comfortable with that.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

And because that may be four billion people on the planet today if you take TikTok, Meta into account, Google into account, who are already demanding workloads that are driven by accelerated computing.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

Embedded in this assumption, I find it very fascinating in a historical context.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

For 2,000 years, basically, GDP did not grow.