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Brad Gerstner

πŸ‘€ Speaker
2921 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

Okay, and then we get the industrial revolution, GDP accelerates.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

We get the digital revolution, GDP accelerates.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

And basically what you're saying, and Scott Besson has said it.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

He said, I think we're gonna have 4% GDP growth next year.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

Basically what you're saying is the world's GDP growth is going to accelerate because now we are giving the world billions of coworkers that will do work for us.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

And if GDP is an amount of output for a fixed amount of labor and capital,

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

It has to accelerate.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

These numbers have everybody talking about a glut or a bubble, right?

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

Zuckerberg said last week on a podcast, you know, he said, listen, I think it's quite possible at some point that we will have an air pocket and Meta may in fact overspend by $10 billion or whatever, but he said, it doesn't matter.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

It's so existential to the future of his business that it's a risk that they have to take.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

But when you think about that,

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

It sounds a little bit like prisoner's dilemma, right?

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

And walk us again throughβ€” These are very happy prisoners.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

Walk us again through, right?

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

Today, our estimate is that we're going to have $100 billion of AI revenue in 2026, excluding the GPUs running recommender engines.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

Yeah.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

Or search.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

Correct.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

So there's other stuff.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

But I think the skeptics would say, we need to go from a hundred billion of AI revenue in 26 to at least a trillion of AI revenue in 2030.