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Brent Buchanan

👤 Person
160 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

When you looked at some of the key counties within the swing states, you could see that he was doing so well within those counties that what made those counties good for him could be replicated across the other swing states, including places like Arizona and Nevada, which were still counting votes or just beginning to end the polls at 10.02 p.m.

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

When you looked at some of the key counties within the swing states, you could see that he was doing so well within those counties that what made those counties good for him could be replicated across the other swing states, including places like Arizona and Nevada, which were still counting votes or just beginning to end the polls at 10.02 p.m.

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

Miami-Dade has been really interesting because it has a highly Hispanic population, but it's more Cuban and Venezuelan, and that's not really replicatable across the rest of the country. What I was looking at was, if you remember from the New York City Madison Square Garden rally where you had that comedian that opened for Trump,

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

Miami-Dade has been really interesting because it has a highly Hispanic population, but it's more Cuban and Venezuelan, and that's not really replicatable across the rest of the country. What I was looking at was, if you remember from the New York City Madison Square Garden rally where you had that comedian that opened for Trump,

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

you know, make a joke about Puerto Ricans living on an island of garbage. And maybe I'm getting that specific reference wrong, but the Puerto Ricans make up the majority of the Orlando area of Hispanics, which is a very different population of Hispanics than Cubans and Venezuelans in Miami-Dade County. So when I saw that he was doing well there, I knew that

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

you know, make a joke about Puerto Ricans living on an island of garbage. And maybe I'm getting that specific reference wrong, but the Puerto Ricans make up the majority of the Orlando area of Hispanics, which is a very different population of Hispanics than Cubans and Venezuelans in Miami-Dade County. So when I saw that he was doing well there, I knew that

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

the mainstream media narrative that Trump was going to be hurt by Hispanics because of that comedian's comment was simply just chatter within the bubble in the elitist class and not actually something that was going to hurt him with voters. And then you could also go over to Maycomb County

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

the mainstream media narrative that Trump was going to be hurt by Hispanics because of that comedian's comment was simply just chatter within the bubble in the elitist class and not actually something that was going to hurt him with voters. And then you could also go over to Maycomb County

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

Michigan, which is a very working class county, that continued to shift towards Republicans, and that's a highly unionized county. And so that also would tell you that, okay, if Trump is winning union voters who've been moving his direction And they're showing up in significant veracity that this is going to continue across the rest of the swing states and really the country as a whole.

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

Michigan, which is a very working class county, that continued to shift towards Republicans, and that's a highly unionized county. And so that also would tell you that, okay, if Trump is winning union voters who've been moving his direction And they're showing up in significant veracity that this is going to continue across the rest of the swing states and really the country as a whole.

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

And I think what's most fascinating in all of this is there was really three elections occurring. There was elections in the swing states, which didn't have huge shifts from the prior election. I mean, you did see a big difference in like Arizona, for example, where Biden barely won it. Trump got over 5% of this time. I think that was more a normalization of the state than anything else.

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

And I think what's most fascinating in all of this is there was really three elections occurring. There was elections in the swing states, which didn't have huge shifts from the prior election. I mean, you did see a big difference in like Arizona, for example, where Biden barely won it. Trump got over 5% of this time. I think that was more a normalization of the state than anything else.

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

But then you had elections in red and blue states and places like Florida and Texas got even redder and places like New Jersey. Trump got that to a single digit race. And so where money was spent, significant money was spent. The elections were closer, even though Republicans did well. And where money was not spent, Republicans just blew it out of the water.

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

But then you had elections in red and blue states and places like Florida and Texas got even redder and places like New Jersey. Trump got that to a single digit race. And so where money was spent, significant money was spent. The elections were closer, even though Republicans did well. And where money was not spent, Republicans just blew it out of the water.

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

And that was a combination of two things. One, Republicans showing up strongly, but also Democrats staying home.

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

And that was a combination of two things. One, Republicans showing up strongly, but also Democrats staying home.

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

It definitely did. And what's interesting about the top priority question is that it became very politically polarized. And if you remember how the Harris campaign closed, they basically closed the same way that Biden tried to frame the end of the 22 midterms elections. And that was Trump is a threat to democracy. And so we have to defeat him to protect our democracy.

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

It definitely did. And what's interesting about the top priority question is that it became very politically polarized. And if you remember how the Harris campaign closed, they basically closed the same way that Biden tried to frame the end of the 22 midterms elections. And that was Trump is a threat to democracy. And so we have to defeat him to protect our democracy.

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

And so that was an issue that really showed up in a lot of our polling. It was somewhere in the top two or three leading up to the election. In our final exit poll on election day, it ended up being the number two issue, almost tying with inflation and economy. But if you said threats to democracy was your number one issue, Harris won those voters by 69 points.

Morning Wire
Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

And so that was an issue that really showed up in a lot of our polling. It was somewhere in the top two or three leading up to the election. In our final exit poll on election day, it ended up being the number two issue, almost tying with inflation and economy. But if you said threats to democracy was your number one issue, Harris won those voters by 69 points.