The Diploma Divide & DOGE: Inside America’s Political Pulse | 3.2.25
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How is Donald Trump's presidency viewed by Americans?
Just over a month into his presidency, Donald Trump is getting high marks from American voters. He's gaining ground with non-white males and those without a college degree. Meanwhile, Democrats are struggling to hone in on a message.
In this episode, we speak to Signal pollster Brent Buchanan about how Americans are responding so far to the Trump presidency. I'm Daily Wire Editor-in-Chief John Bickley with Georgia Howe. It's Sunday, March 2nd, and this is a weekend edition of Morning Wire. Joining us now is founder of Signal Polling Group, Brent Buchanan. Brent, thank you so much for joining us.
Yeah, great to be back.
What are the key trends in the recent national vote poll?
So first of all, you released your new national vote trend poll this month. What were some of the trends that stood out to you?
Well, there were a few, and I'd say the biggest is this finding that non-white men continue to move towards Donald Trump. And it's a really fascinating thing because if you go back and look at the exit polling, white voters as a whole basically gave Trump the exact same margin in the 24 election as they did in the 20 election. And that was two factors, one being that non-college educated whites continue to move to the right, college educated whites and higher continue to move to the left. And that trend on the educational attainment, we call it the diploma divide, hadn't really made its way into non-white communities in the same veracity that it had white communities from between 16 and 20 and 24.
And you just continue to see that, like, you've got 30% of Black men who are favorable of Donald Trump. I mean, that's a stat that if you'd ask his favorability in 2017, my guess would have been around 11%.
Yeah, so a very dramatic difference there. So you're seeing that continued support that we saw from the election to this point. What are some of the things you found in terms of specific reasons that Trump's maintaining this support?
Why are non-college educated voters shifting towards Trump?
Well, if you look at why people, especially those without a college degree, are moving to the right, it's because they don't trust the system at all. They believe that government works against them and not for them, and that it is an impediment to their ability to succeed, to take care of their family, to educate their children. They look at the lunacy of the left how they're focusing so much on like, let's ensure there's 10 transgender bathrooms in the school as being a more important priority than like, can my kid do math at his or her grade level? And they just see tons of like luxury issue views being touted by the left when they're trying to make ends meet and they're trying to help their kid and family be successful or even just get by in many cases.
And so that's why on issues like Doge, I mean, I'm here in the Washington, D.C. area, and everybody's hair is absolutely on fire over the downsizing and the cutting of contracts and the layoffs and all these things that in corporate America are very normal. And you don't see entire news segments being done on corporate layoffs, but they're flipping out about these smaller government layoffs. But people outside of this bubble in normal America, especially these non-white communities, are cheering what's going on here. You know, we looked at one factor in our February survey where if somebody did not vote in 2020, but they did vote for Donald Trump in 24, or they selected a different candidate in 2020, but voted for Donald Trump in 24, that audience is like 62% favorable of what Trump and Musk are doing with Doge right now.
I mean, that's just a wild factor of these folks that Donald Trump got engaged and pulled into the electorate or pulled his way are who is shaping the narrative moving forward.
What challenges are Democrats facing in gaining support?
Now, you've talked about the record support for Trump, more support than he's ever had before. What about the other side of the aisle, though? We've seen reports of Democrats feeling rudderless, suffering record low support for them. What have you found?
They are in the doldrums, to say the least. And it's all their own doing, because as I was mentioning, they would rather focus on sexuality than they would the economy and have really radical views on it. And so they have earned this first off for themselves. But when you look at some of these, like I always like to look at data against some other point of data.
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Chapters
6 chapters
1
How is Donald Trump's presidency viewed by Americans?
0:02–0:39
2
What are the key trends in the recent national vote poll?
0:39–1:59
3
Why are non-college educated voters shifting towards Trump?
1:59–3:50
4
What challenges are Democrats facing in gaining support?
3:50–5:52
5
Is the anti-billionaire message effective for Democrats?
5:52–9:36
6
What are the potential headwinds for the Trump administration?
9:36–15:55
Speakers
2 identifiedMore from Morning Wire
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