Brett Cooper

So PolyMarket specifically, they exploded during the 2024 election, where more than $3.3 billion was waged on Trump versus Kamala.

It is now valued at $9 billion, and it's partnered with leagues like the MLB, UFC as their official prediction market.

So it is now like fully in the mainstream.

And as you probably know, PolyMarket is not your normal betting site.

It's not like DraftKings, like its primary function

I guess it's just betting on random events.

I think that's the best way we could describe it.

Like for example, users bet nearly $200,000 on whether Trump would smoke pot with Joe Rogan.

They bet another 65K on if Kamala Harris during her campaign would say the word brat before August.

People even bet on if and when Jesus is going to return, if the US will confirm that aliens exist, what year Taylor Swift will get pregnant, when her actual wedding is, where it is, all of these things.

They are even betting on Caroline Levitt's press conferences.

And this is sort of where it starts to get interesting.

Look at this.

This is from January of this year, January 7th.

Today's White House press briefing had a 98% chance of running over 65 minutes until Caroline Leavitt abruptly ended it with seconds to spare.

Traders on the no side, meaning that minority, the 2% that said she would not go over 65 minutes, made 50 times their bet in seconds.

Now that clip right there from January 7th, that was the first time that I saw people questioning whether anyone within the Trump administration or within government at large was in on this.

Because if you watch that press conference, if you're watching the clock run up the way that she immediately ends it and walks off stage, her abrupt ending,

was almost too perfectly timed.

Like just, it was almost too abrupt.