Brian Stern

Years ago, I spoke about artificial intelligence in terms that sounded extreme at the time, that we could reach something like AGI around 2030, that it would disrupt not 5% or 10% of our jobs, but something closer to half of our jobs.

That put me back then way on the edge of the fringe, lunatic fringe.

Now I'm much closer to the center of the conversation.

And that wasn't about jobs.

That was about losing truth.

So how do you reconcile the two truths that I have, that I'm wrong a lot, and then I have these things that are shocking?

Here's the only answer I can give you.

I know the difference between when I'm reasoning something out and when something feels placed in front of me.

And you can call that intuition.

You can call that pattern recognition.

You can call that experience.

I call it listening to the spirit.

I'm not going to force that on you, but I will tell you I don't take credit for the moments that turned out right.

Because I know they were not engineered or reasoned out by me.

I know it.

And only I know it.

So I can't prove that to you.

But I have learned the hard way to be very, very careful about telling those two things apart.

Because when it's just me, when it's just my analysis, my guess, my conclusion, I hold that loosely.

I expect to be challenged.